Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Guo Hanyu v Ekaterina Alexandrova

2026-10-20 04:00 UTC — WTA Ningbo Open

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Guo Hanyu (Local)

Prediction 23.83%4.20fair odd
EV +1.26%
Edge +0.297%
Kelly +0.388%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.30%23.86%23.81%26.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.004.004.2528.57%25.03%25.00%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visit)

Prediction 76.17%1.31fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -5.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.62%76.14%76.19%77.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.231.221.2983.33%81.04%81.97%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Guo Hanyu (Local): 23.83%; Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visit): 76.17%. For Guo Hanyu (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.20. 17 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.25, producing a positive expected value of +1.26%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:55
Casumo🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:54
Grosvenor🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:54
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:54
Unibet (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:55
TABtouch🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:55
betPARX🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:54
Bally Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 15:14
Virgin Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 15:14
BetRivers🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 15:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 15:40
Pinnacle🎯4.18I 23.92%NM 23.16%EV -0.405%E -0.097%K -0.128%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.84%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-18 14:54
BetAnything🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.31%E -0.564%K -0.746%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-18 18:45
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -2.31%E -0.564%K -0.746%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-18 14:54
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 14:53
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 14:54
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 14:55
Bet Right🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 14:59
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 15:14
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 15:20
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 15:30
Winamax (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-18 15:10
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 14:55
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 14:59
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 15:24
BetOnline.ag🎯3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -3.26%E -2.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 14:54
LowVig.ag🎯3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -3.26%E -2.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 14:54
Betr (AU)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 15:04
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 15:20
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 15:20
DraftKings🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.32%EV -6.60%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.68%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 15:34
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 15:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 15:04
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 15:10
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 14:55
picklebet_au🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 15:14
LeoVegas🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 15:14
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 15:14
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.65%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 14:58
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.65%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 16:39
Neds🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -11.84%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 15:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -11.84%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 15:44
ReBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -13.03%E -3.57%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.10%EV -7.83%E -6.47%K -37.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-18 15:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -13.27%E -3.65%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -2.50%E -1.95%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-18 15:14
1xBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.22%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.74%E -1.35%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 15:44
Winamax (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -15.42%E -4.34%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.74%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-18 15:34
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -16.61%E -4.74%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.96%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-18 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-10-18 14:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-10-18 14:54
Matchbook◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-10-18 14:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%1.3%2026-10-18 14:55
ProphetX◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%2.0%2026-10-18 17:05
Novig◎4.26I 23.47%NM 22.97%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.03%2.2%2026-10-18 17:09