Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Guo Hanyu v Ekaterina Alexandrova

2026-10-20 04:00 UTC — WTA Ningbo Open

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Guo Hanyu (Local)

Prévision 23.83%4.20cote équitable
EV +1.26%
Avantage +0.297%
Kelly +0.388%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.30%23.82%23.81%25.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.504.004.004.2528.57%25.01%25.00%23.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visiteur)

Prévision 76.17%1.31cote équitable
EV -2.50%
Avantage -1.95%
Kelly -8.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.25%76.18%76.19%77.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.201.231.221.2883.33%81.06%81.97%78.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Guo Hanyu (Local) : 23.83% ; Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visiteur) : 76.17%. Pour Guo Hanyu (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.20. 17 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.25, pour une espérance positive de +1.26%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:55
Casumo🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:54
Grosvenor🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:54
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:54
Unibet (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:55
TABtouch🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:55
betPARX🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:54
Bally Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 15:14
Virgin Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 15:14
BetRivers🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 15:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 15:40
Pinnacle🎯4.18I 23.92%NM 23.16%EV -0.405%E -0.097%K -0.128%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.84%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-18 14:54
BetAnything🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.31%E -0.564%K -0.746%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-18 18:45
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -2.31%E -0.564%K -0.746%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-18 14:54
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 14:53
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 14:54
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 14:55
Bet Right🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 14:59
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 15:14
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 15:20
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 15:30
Winamax (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-18 15:10
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 14:55
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 14:59
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 15:24
BetOnline.ag🎯3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -3.26%E -2.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 14:54
LowVig.ag🎯3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -3.26%E -2.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 14:54
Betr (AU)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 15:04
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 15:20
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 15:20
DraftKings🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.32%EV -6.60%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.68%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 15:34
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 15:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 15:04
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 15:10
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 14:55
picklebet_au🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 15:14
LeoVegas🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 15:14
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 15:14
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.65%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 14:58
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.65%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 16:39
Marathon Bet🎯3.72I 26.88%NM 25.45%EV -11.37%E -3.06%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.55%EV -3.26%E -2.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-18 19:29
Neds🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -11.84%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 15:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -11.84%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 15:44
1xBet🎯3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV -12.08%E -3.27%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25%EV -2.50%E -1.95%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-18 19:30
ReBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -13.03%E -3.57%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.10%EV -7.83%E -6.47%K -37.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-18 15:35
Winamax (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -15.42%E -4.34%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.74%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-18 15:34
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -16.61%E -4.74%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.96%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-18 15:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-10-18 14:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-10-18 14:54
Matchbook◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-10-18 14:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%1.3%2026-10-18 14:55
ProphetX◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%2.0%2026-10-18 17:05
Novig◎4.26I 23.47%NM 22.97%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.03%2.2%2026-10-18 17:09