Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Guo Hanyu v Ekaterina Alexandrova

2026-10-20 04:00 UTC — WTA Ningbo Open

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Guo Hanyu (Local)

Predicción 23.83%4.20momio equitativo
EV +1.26%
Ventaja +0.297%
Kelly +0.388%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.30%23.82%23.81%25.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.504.004.004.2528.57%25.01%25.00%23.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visitante)

Predicción 76.17%1.31momio equitativo
EV -2.50%
Ventaja -1.95%
Kelly -8.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.25%76.18%76.19%77.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.201.231.221.2883.33%81.06%81.97%78.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Guo Hanyu (Local): 23.83%; Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visitante): 76.17%. Para Guo Hanyu (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.20. 17 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.25, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.26%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Unibet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:55
Casumo🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:54
Grosvenor🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:54
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:54
Unibet (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:55
TABtouch🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:55
betPARX🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:54
Bally Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 15:14
Virgin Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 15:14
BetRivers🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 15:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.388%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 15:40
Pinnacle🎯4.18I 23.92%NM 23.16%EV -0.405%E -0.097%K -0.128%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.84%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-18 14:54
BetAnything🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.31%E -0.564%K -0.746%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-18 18:45
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -2.31%E -0.564%K -0.746%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-18 14:54
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 14:53
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 14:54
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 14:55
Bet Right🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 14:59
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 15:14
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 15:20
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 15:30
Winamax (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-18 15:10
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 14:55
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 14:59
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 15:24
BetOnline.ag🎯3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -3.26%E -2.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 14:54
LowVig.ag🎯3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -3.26%E -2.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 14:54
Betr (AU)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 15:04
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 15:20
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 15:20
DraftKings🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.32%EV -6.60%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.68%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 15:34
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 15:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 15:04
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 15:10
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 14:55
picklebet_au🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 15:14
LeoVegas🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 15:14
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 15:14
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.65%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 14:58
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.65%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 16:39
Marathon Bet🎯3.72I 26.88%NM 25.45%EV -11.37%E -3.06%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.55%EV -3.26%E -2.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-18 19:29
Neds🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -11.84%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 15:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -11.84%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 15:44
1xBet🎯3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV -12.08%E -3.27%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25%EV -2.50%E -1.95%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-18 19:30
ReBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -13.03%E -3.57%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.10%EV -7.83%E -6.47%K -37.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-18 15:35
Winamax (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -15.42%E -4.34%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.74%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-18 15:34
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -16.61%E -4.74%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.96%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-18 15:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-10-18 14:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-10-18 14:54
Matchbook◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-10-18 14:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%1.3%2026-10-18 14:55
ProphetX◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%2.0%2026-10-18 17:05
Novig◎4.26I 23.47%NM 22.97%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.03%2.2%2026-10-18 17:09