The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Daria Kasatkina v Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Kickoff: 2026-10-19 08:13 UTC

Final: Daria Kasatkina 0–2 Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daria Kasatkina (Local)

Prediction 43.69%2.29fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -0.951%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.41%43.76%43.65%45.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.182.2450.00%46.23%45.87%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Visit)

Prediction 56.31%1.78fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -3.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.52%56.24%56.35%57.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.681.681.7362.11%59.59%59.52%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daria Kasatkina (Local): 43.69%; Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Visit): 56.31%. For Daria Kasatkina (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.24, with an expected value of -2.13%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -2.13%E -0.951%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -4.84%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-19 08:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -2.13%E -0.951%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -4.84%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-19 08:00
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -3.00%E -1.35%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -3.15%E -1.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-19 07:55
FanDuel🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.00%E -1.35%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.40%E -3.22%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-19 07:41
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.88%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.84%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-19 07:55
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.88%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.40%E -3.22%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-19 08:06
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.88%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-19 07:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.88%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-19 07:41
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.88%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-19 07:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.88%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-19 07:55
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.88%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-19 07:55
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.88%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.09%E -4.30%K -10.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-19 07:45
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -3.88%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.65%E -4.67%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-19 07:50
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.88%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.78%E -5.42%K -14.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-19 07:40
Bet Right🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.75%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.40%E -3.22%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-19 08:00
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.75%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.40%E -3.22%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-19 07:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.75%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.40%E -3.22%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-19 07:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.75%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.40%E -3.22%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-19 07:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.75%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.40%E -3.22%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-19 07:56
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.75%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.40%E -3.22%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-19 07:55
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.75%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.40%E -3.22%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-19 07:55
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.75%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.40%E -3.22%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-19 07:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.75%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.40%E -3.22%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-19 07:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.75%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.40%E -3.22%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-19 07:55
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.75%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.40%E -3.22%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-19 07:55
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.75%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.40%E -3.22%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-19 07:55
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.75%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.40%E -3.22%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-19 07:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.75%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.40%E -3.22%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-19 07:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.75%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.40%E -3.22%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-19 07:55
DraftKings🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.19%E -2.39%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.28%E -2.52%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 21:59
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.19%E -2.39%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.84%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-19 07:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.19%E -2.39%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.40%E -3.22%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-19 08:05
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.06%E -2.82%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.59%E -1.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-19 07:41
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.06%E -2.82%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.15%E -1.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-19 08:00
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.06%E -2.82%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 22:01
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.06%E -2.82%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-19 08:00
picklebet_au🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.06%E -2.82%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.28%E -2.52%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-19 08:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.06%E -2.82%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.28%E -2.52%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-19 08:00
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.06%E -2.82%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.84%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-19 07:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.06%E -2.82%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.40%E -3.22%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-19 07:55
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.06%E -2.82%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.40%E -3.22%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-19 07:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.06%E -2.82%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-19 08:00
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.06%E -2.82%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-19 08:05
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.06%E -2.82%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.09%E -4.30%K -10.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-19 08:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.06%E -2.82%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.78%E -5.42%K -14.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-19 08:05
Betsson🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.94%E -3.26%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -4.84%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-19 08:00
NordicBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.94%E -3.26%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -4.84%E -2.86%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-19 08:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.40%E -3.22%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-19 08:00
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.40%E -3.22%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-19 07:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.40%E -3.22%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-19 07:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.09%E -4.30%K -10.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-19 07:55
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.25%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.09%E -4.30%K -10.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-19 07:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -9.12%E -4.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37%EV -9.34%E -5.80%K -15.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-19 07:55
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -10.43%E -5.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-18 15:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -12.62%E -6.31%K -12.62%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -7.09%E -4.30%K -10.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-19 08:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-10-19 08:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-10-19 08:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-10-19 08:06
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-10-19 08:06
ProphetX◎2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68%0.8%2026-10-19 08:06
Novig◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%1.6%2026-10-19 08:05