StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Daria Kasatkina v Aliaksandra Sasnovich

2026-10-19 08:00 UTC — WTA Ningbo Open

Matchresultat

52 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Daria Kasatkina (Hemma)

Prognos 45.42%2.20rättvist odds
EV -3.71%
Fördel -1.75%
Kelly -3.31%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.12

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
44.30%45.40%45.43%46.42%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.002.082.102.1250.00%48.06%47.62%47.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Borta)

Prognos 54.58%1.83rättvist odds
EV -2.30%
Fördel -1.28%
Kelly -2.91%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.79

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
53.58%54.60%54.57%55.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.671.731.741.7959.88%57.67%57.47%55.87%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Daria Kasatkina (Hemma): 45.42%; Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Borta): 54.58%. För Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.83. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån: bästa tillgängliga odds är 1.79, med väntevärdet -2.30%; det ger inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (52 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.71%E -1.75%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.12%E -3.56%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 15:13
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -4.17%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -2.30%E -1.28%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-18 18:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.85%E -1.60%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-18 16:19
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.39%E -1.92%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-18 18:49
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.48%E -2.56%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 18:49
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 18:50
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:19
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:19
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:19
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:19
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:19
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:20
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:18
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:40
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 15:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 18:19
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 15:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 18:20
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 18:54
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 19:00
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.12%E -3.56%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 15:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.12%E -3.56%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 20:04
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.67%E -3.90%K -9.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 18:25
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.85%E -5.30%K -13.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 15:13
DraftKings🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.07%E -2.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.48%E -2.56%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.53%E -2.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-18 18:49
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.53%E -2.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.12%E -3.56%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-18 20:04
Betsson🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -6.44%E -3.12%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 15:20
NordicBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -6.44%E -3.12%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 15:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -6.44%E -3.12%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-18 15:19
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.48%E -2.56%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-18 18:20
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-18 18:28
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.12%E -3.56%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 16:19
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.67%E -3.90%K -9.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-18 15:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-18 18:30
ReBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -7.35%E -3.60%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 20:04
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.25%E -4.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.48%E -2.56%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-18 18:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.25%E -4.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.48%E -2.56%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-18 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.16%E -4.58%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-18 18:54
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.16%E -4.58%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-18 18:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.16%E -4.58%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.67%E -3.90%K -9.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 17:34
picklebet_au🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.16%E -4.58%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-18 15:19
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
ProphetX◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-10-18 20:00
Novig◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-10-18 20:04
Matchbook◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.1%2026-10-18 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.1%2026-10-18 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.1%2026-10-18 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.1%2026-10-18 19:04