Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Daria Kasatkina v Aliaksandra Sasnovich

2026-10-19 08:00 UTC — WTA Ningbo Open

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Daria Kasatkina (Local)

Prévision 45.42%2.20cote équitable
EV -3.71%
Avantage -1.75%
Kelly -3.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.30%45.40%45.43%46.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.082.102.1250.00%48.06%47.62%47.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.58%1.83cote équitable
EV -2.30%
Avantage -1.28%
Kelly -2.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.58%54.60%54.57%55.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.671.731.741.7959.88%57.67%57.47%55.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Daria Kasatkina (Local) : 45.42% ; Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Visiteur) : 54.58%. Pour Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.83. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 1.79, pour une espérance de -2.30% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.71%E -1.75%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.12%E -3.56%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 15:13
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -4.17%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -2.30%E -1.28%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-18 18:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.85%E -1.60%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-18 16:19
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.39%E -1.92%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-18 18:49
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.48%E -2.56%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 18:49
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 18:50
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:19
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:19
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:19
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:19
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:19
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:20
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:18
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:40
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 15:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 18:19
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 15:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 18:20
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 18:54
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 19:00
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.12%E -3.56%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 15:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.12%E -3.56%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 20:04
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.67%E -3.90%K -9.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 18:25
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.62%E -2.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.85%E -5.30%K -13.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 15:13
DraftKings🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.07%E -2.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.48%E -2.56%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.53%E -2.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-18 18:49
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.53%E -2.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.12%E -3.56%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-18 20:04
Betsson🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -6.44%E -3.12%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 15:20
NordicBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -6.44%E -3.12%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 15:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -6.44%E -3.12%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-18 15:19
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.48%E -2.56%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-18 18:20
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-18 18:28
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.12%E -3.56%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 16:19
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.67%E -3.90%K -9.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-18 15:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.89%E -3.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-18 18:30
ReBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -7.35%E -3.60%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 20:04
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.25%E -4.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.48%E -2.56%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-18 18:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.25%E -4.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.48%E -2.56%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-18 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.16%E -4.58%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-18 18:54
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.16%E -4.58%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.57%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-18 18:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.16%E -4.58%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.67%E -3.90%K -9.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 17:34
picklebet_au🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.16%E -4.58%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-18 15:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-10-18 20:00
Novig◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-10-18 20:04
Matchbook◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.1%2026-10-18 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.1%2026-10-18 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.1%2026-10-18 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.1%2026-10-18 19:04