Language:English
Nikola Bartunkova v Elise Mertens
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nikola Bartunkova (Local)
Prediction 40.92%2.44fair odd
EV +0.254%
Edge +0.104%
Kelly +0.175%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.62%40.85%41.03%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.342.322.4545.45%42.66%43.10%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elise Mertens (Visit)
Prediction 59.08%1.69fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.800%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%59.15%58.97%61.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.591.591.6766.23%62.93%62.89%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nikola Bartunkova (Local): 40.92%; Elise Mertens (Visit): 59.08%. For Nikola Bartunkova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.254%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-29 00:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.84%E -5.02%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 00:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 00:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 00:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 00:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 00:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 00:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 00:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 00:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -0.973%E -0.402%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -6.06%E -3.81%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 01:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.79%E -0.746%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 00:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -1.79%E -0.746%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -10.79%E -7.15%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 00:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -3.43%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -3.11%E -1.90%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-29 01:01 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -3.43%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -3.11%E -1.90%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-29 01:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.10%EV -3.43%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.90%EV -6.65%E -4.21%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 01:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.11%E -1.90%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 00:41 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 23:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 23:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.06%E -3.81%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 00:06 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.65%E -4.21%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 01:11 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 01:11 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.66%E -2.00%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 01:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.07%E -2.18%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.65%E -4.21%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.47%E -2.37%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 00:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.47%E -2.37%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 00:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.47%E -2.37%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.70%E -2.27%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 00:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 00:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 20:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-28 20:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-28 20:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-28 20:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-28 20:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 00:41 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 00:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 01:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 00:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -6.29%E -2.75%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 00:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -6.29%E -2.75%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 00:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -7.52%E -3.33%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -2.52%E -1.53%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-28 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 20:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 20:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-28 17:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 00:13 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-28 20:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-28 20:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-28 17:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-28 17:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.98%E -4.53%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.34%E -0.800%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 13:11 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 0.2% | 2026-08-29 01:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 0.2% | 2026-08-29 01:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 0.2% | 2026-08-29 01:16 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 0.2% | 2026-08-29 01:16 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 0.2% | 2026-08-29 01:15 |
| Novig◎ | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 01:10 |