Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Nikola Bartunkova v Elise Mertens

Inizio: 2026-08-29 01:22 UTC

Finale: Nikola Bartunkova 1–2 Elise Mertens

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

61 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Nikola Bartunkova (Casa)

Previsione 40.92%2.44quota equa
EV +0.254%
Vantaggio +0.104%
Kelly +0.175%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.62%40.85%41.03%43.15%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.342.322.4545.45%42.66%43.10%40.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Elise Mertens (Trasferta)

Previsione 59.08%1.69quota equa
EV -1.34%
Vantaggio -0.800%
Kelly -2.00%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.67

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.85%59.15%58.97%61.38%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.511.591.591.6766.23%62.93%62.89%59.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Nikola Bartunkova (Casa): 40.92%; Elise Mertens (Trasferta): 59.08%. Per Nikola Bartunkova (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.44. 16 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.45, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.254%.

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-29 00:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.84%E -5.02%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 00:10
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 00:10
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 00:10
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 00:10
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 00:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 00:10
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 00:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 00:10
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 00:10
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -0.973%E -0.402%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -6.06%E -3.81%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 01:10
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.79%E -0.746%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 00:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -1.79%E -0.746%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -10.79%E -7.15%K -21.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 00:10
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -3.43%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -3.11%E -1.90%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-29 01:01
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -3.43%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -3.11%E -1.90%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-29 01:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.10%EV -3.43%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.90%EV -6.65%E -4.21%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 01:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.11%E -1.90%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 00:41
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 23:49
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 23:55
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.06%E -3.81%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 00:06
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.65%E -4.21%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 01:11
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 01:11
DraftKings🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.66%E -2.00%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 01:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.07%E -2.18%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.65%E -4.21%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 00:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.47%E -2.37%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 00:40
ReBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.47%E -2.37%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 00:40
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.47%E -2.37%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 00:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.70%E -2.27%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 00:40
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 23:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 00:40
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 20:19
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 23:25
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 20:20
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 20:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 20:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 20:20
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 00:41
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 00:10
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 01:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 00:40
NordicBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -6.29%E -2.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 00:40
Betsson🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -6.29%E -2.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 00:40
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -7.52%E -3.33%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -2.52%E -1.53%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-28 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 20:25
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 20:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 17:40
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 17:40
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 00:13
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-28 20:25
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-28 20:25
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-28 17:40
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-28 17:40
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.98%E -4.53%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.34%E -0.800%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:11
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-08-29 01:16
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-08-29 01:16
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-08-29 01:16
Matchbook◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-08-29 01:16
ProphetX◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%0.2%2026-08-29 01:15
Novig◎2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%3.9%2026-08-29 01:10