Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nikola Bartunkova v Elise Mertens

Início: 2026-08-29 01:22 UTC

Final: Nikola Bartunkova 1–2 Elise Mertens

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

41%

59%

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nikola Bartunkova (Local)

Previsão 40.92%2.44odd justa

EV +0.254%

Vantagem +0.104%

Kelly +0.175%

Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

38.62%40.85%41.03%43.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribuição das odds

2.202.342.322.4545.45%42.66%43.10%40.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Elise Mertens (Visitante)

Previsão 59.08%1.69odd justa

EV -1.34%

Vantagem -0.800%

Kelly -2.00%

Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

56.85%59.15%58.97%61.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribuição das odds

1.511.591.591.6766.23%62.93%62.89%59.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Nikola Bartunkova (Local): 40.92%; Elise Mertens (Visitante): 59.08%. Para Nikola Bartunkova (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.44. 16 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.45, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.254%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostas	Local ▼	Visitante	Margem	Atualização
Pinnacle🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-08-29 00:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.84%E -5.02%K -13.99%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-29 00:10
BetRivers🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-29 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-29 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-29 00:10
Casumo🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-29 00:10
Unibet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-29 00:10
TABtouch🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-29 00:10
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-29 00:10
Grosvenor🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-29 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-29 00:10
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-29 00:10
Bally Bet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-29 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-29 00:10
betPARX🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-29 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +0.254%E +0.104%K +0.175%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-29 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -0.973%E -0.402%K -0.685%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -6.06%E -3.81%K -10.28%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-29 01:10
PlayUp🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.79%E -0.746%K -1.28%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-29 00:10
PMU (FR)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -1.79%E -0.746%K -1.28%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -10.79%E -7.15%K -21.16%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-29 00:10
betfred_uk🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.71%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-29 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯	2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -3.43%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -3.11%E -1.90%K -4.86%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-29 01:01
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -3.43%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -3.11%E -1.90%K -4.86%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-29 01:00
Marathon Bet🎯	2.36I 42.37%NM 40.10%EV -3.43%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.90%EV -6.65%E -4.21%K -11.47%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-29 01:05
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.84%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.11%E -1.90%K -4.86%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-08-29 00:41
Bovada🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.84%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-28 23:49
BetAnything🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.84%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-28 23:55
Fanatics🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.84%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.06%E -3.81%K -10.28%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-29 00:06
Betr (AU)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.84%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.65%E -4.21%K -11.47%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-29 01:11
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.84%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.71%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-29 01:11
DraftKings🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.66%E -2.00%K -3.50%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-29 01:15
NetBet (FR)🎯	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.07%E -2.18%K -3.84%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.65%E -4.21%K -11.47%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-29 00:55
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.47%E -2.37%K -4.18%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-29 00:40
ReBet🎯	2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.47%E -2.37%K -4.18%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-29 00:40
1xBet🎯	2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.47%E -2.37%K -4.18%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-29 00:15
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.70%E -2.27%K -5.87%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-29 00:40
theScore Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-28 23:25
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-29 00:40
William Hill🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-28 20:19
BoyleSports🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-28 23:25
888sport🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-28 20:20
BetMGM🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-28 20:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-28 20:19
888sport (SE)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-28 20:20
LeoVegas🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-29 00:41
Bet Right🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-29 00:10
Betway🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-29 01:15
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-29 00:40
NordicBet🎯	2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -6.29%E -2.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-29 00:40
Betsson🎯	2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -6.29%E -2.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-29 00:40
FanDuel🎯	2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -7.52%E -3.33%K -5.97%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -2.52%E -1.53%K -3.87%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-28 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-28 20:25
Neds🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-28 20:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-28 17:40
SportsBet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-28 17:40
Bet Victor🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.71%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-29 00:13
betano_uk🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.71%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-29 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.71%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-28 20:25
Coral🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.71%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-28 20:25
Paddy Power🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.71%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-28 17:40
Sky Bet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.71%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-28 17:40
Caesars🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.98%E -4.53%K -8.31%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.34%E -0.800%K -2.00%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-28 13:11

Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostas	Local	Visitante	Margem ▲	Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%	1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%	0.2%	2026-08-29 01:16
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%	1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%	0.2%	2026-08-29 01:16
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%	1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%	0.2%	2026-08-29 01:16
Matchbook◎	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%	1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%	0.2%	2026-08-29 01:16
ProphetX◎	2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%	1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%	0.2%	2026-08-29 01:15
Novig◎	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%	1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%	3.9%	2026-08-29 01:10