Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maja Chwalinska v Alycia Parks

Kickoff: 2026-08-27 01:43 UTC

Final: Maja Chwalinska 1–2 Alycia Parks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maja Chwalinska (Local)

Prediction 60.72%1.65fair odd
EV +13.55%
Edge +7.25%
Kelly +15.58%
Growth +2.11%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%60.26%60.76%62.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.561.561.8766.23%63.95%64.10%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alycia Parks (Visit)

Prediction 39.28%2.55fair odd
EV -0.632%
Edge -0.250%
Kelly -0.413%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.68%39.74%39.24%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.392.402.5353.48%41.81%41.67%39.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maja Chwalinska (Local): 60.72%; Alycia Parks (Visit): 39.28%. For Maja Chwalinska (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.65. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.55%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +13.55%E +7.25%K +15.58%G +2.11%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -26.55%E -14.20%K -30.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-27 01:34
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -1.63%E -1.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -2.99%E -1.21%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-27 01:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.45%E -2.17%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.20%E -0.885%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-27 01:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.45%E -2.17%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.20%E -0.885%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-27 01:29
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.45%E -2.17%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -6.52%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-26 16:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.06%E -2.57%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.77%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-26 12:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.06%E -2.57%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.77%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-26 12:29
DraftKings🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -4.06%E -2.57%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 05:09
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.06%E -2.57%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.52%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 01:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.60%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-27 01:39
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.77%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-27 01:18
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.77%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-26 13:14
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 17:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 10:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 10:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 10:04
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.52%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-26 05:09
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.52%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-26 17:44
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.52%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-26 17:44
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.52%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-26 12:28
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.52%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-26 17:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.52%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-26 17:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 00:04
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.63%E -5.17%K -9.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-26 16:29
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.63%E -5.17%K -9.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-26 16:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 10:04
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 10:04
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 10:04
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 10:04
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 10:04
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 10:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 10:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 10:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 10:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 10:04
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 10:10
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 10:10
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-27 01:36
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -8.49%E -3.64%K -6.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 16:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -2.99%E -1.21%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-27 01:39
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -3.38%E -1.37%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-27 01:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -4.56%E -1.88%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 01:34
Bet Right🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 01:19
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-26 17:44
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-26 21:54
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-26 21:54
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-26 21:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-26 21:35
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.49%E -4.21%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.77%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 01:39
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.49%E -4.21%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -4.56%E -1.88%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-27 01:39
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.49%E -4.21%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -4.56%E -1.88%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-27 01:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.49%E -4.21%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-26 10:04
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -0.632%E -0.250%K -0.413%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-26 07:49
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.77%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-26 21:35
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 21:34
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.52%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 01:19
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.52%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 01:18
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.70%E -5.07%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-27 01:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.70%E -5.07%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-26 21:59
NetBet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -8.31%E -5.50%K -16.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-27 01:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-08-27 01:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-08-27 01:39
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-08-27 01:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-08-27 01:34
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-08-27 01:39
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-08-27 01:39