Idioma:Español
Maja Chwalinska v Alycia Parks
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Maja Chwalinska (Local)
Predicción 60.72%1.65momio equitativo
EV +13.55%
Ventaja +7.25%
Kelly +15.58%
Crecimiento +2.11%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%60.26%60.76%62.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.511.561.561.8766.23%63.95%64.10%53.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alycia Parks (Visitante)
Predicción 39.28%2.55momio equitativo
EV -0.632%
Ventaja -0.250%
Kelly -0.413%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.68%39.74%39.24%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.872.392.402.5353.48%41.81%41.67%39.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Maja Chwalinska (Local): 60.72%; Alycia Parks (Visitante): 39.28%. Para Maja Chwalinska (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.65. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.87, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +13.55%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +13.55%E +7.25%K +15.58%G +2.11% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -26.55%E -14.20%K -30.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-27 01:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -1.63%E -1.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -2.99%E -1.21%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-27 01:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.45%E -2.17%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.20%E -0.885%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-27 01:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.45%E -2.17%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.20%E -0.885%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-27 01:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.45%E -2.17%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -6.52%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-26 16:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.06%E -2.57%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.77%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-26 12:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.06%E -2.57%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.77%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-26 12:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -4.06%E -2.57%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-26 05:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.06%E -2.57%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.52%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-27 01:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.60%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-27 01:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.77%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-27 01:18 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.77%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-26 13:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 17:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 10:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 10:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 10:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.52%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-26 05:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.52%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-26 17:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.52%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-26 17:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.52%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-26 12:28 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.52%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-26 17:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.52%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-26 17:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-27 00:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.63%E -5.17%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-26 16:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.63%E -5.17%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-26 16:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-26 10:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-26 10:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-26 10:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-26 10:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-26 10:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-26 10:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-26 10:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-26 10:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-26 10:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-26 10:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-26 10:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-26 10:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-27 01:36 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -8.49%E -3.64%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 16:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -2.99%E -1.21%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-27 01:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -3.38%E -1.37%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-27 01:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -4.56%E -1.88%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-27 01:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-27 01:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-26 17:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-26 21:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-26 21:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-26 21:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-26 21:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.49%E -4.21%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.77%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-27 01:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.49%E -4.21%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -4.56%E -1.88%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-27 01:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.49%E -4.21%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -4.56%E -1.88%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-27 01:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.49%E -4.21%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-26 10:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -0.632%E -0.250%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-26 07:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.77%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-26 21:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 21:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.52%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-27 01:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.52%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-27 01:18 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.70%E -5.07%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-27 01:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.70%E -5.07%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-26 21:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -8.31%E -5.50%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-27 01:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24% | 0.2% | 2026-08-27 01:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24% | 0.2% | 2026-08-27 01:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24% | 0.2% | 2026-08-27 01:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-08-27 01:34 |
| Novig◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-08-27 01:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-08-27 01:39 |