Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Maja Chwalinska v Alycia Parks

Início: 2026-08-27 01:43 UTC

Final: Maja Chwalinska 1–2 Alycia Parks

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

61%

39%

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Maja Chwalinska (Local)

Previsão 60.72%1.65odd justa

EV +13.55%

Vantagem +7.25%

Kelly +15.58%

Crescimento +2.11%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

50.00%60.26%60.76%62.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribuição das odds

1.511.561.561.8766.23%63.95%64.10%53.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alycia Parks (Visitante)

Previsão 39.28%2.55odd justa

EV -0.632%

Vantagem -0.250%

Kelly -0.413%

Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

37.68%39.74%39.24%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribuição das odds

1.872.392.402.5353.48%41.81%41.67%39.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Maja Chwalinska (Local): 60.72%; Alycia Parks (Visitante): 39.28%. Para Maja Chwalinska (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.65. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.87, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +13.55%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostas	Local ▼	Visitante	Margem	Atualização
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +13.55%E +7.25%K +15.58%G +2.11%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -26.55%E -14.20%K -30.52%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-27 01:34
Pinnacle🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -1.63%E -1.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%	2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -2.99%E -1.21%K -2.03%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-08-27 01:20
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.45%E -2.17%K -5.85%G +0.000%	2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.20%E -0.885%K -1.48%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-08-27 01:29
LowVig.ag🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.45%E -2.17%K -5.85%G +0.000%	2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.20%E -0.885%K -1.48%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-08-27 01:29
FanDuel🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.45%E -2.17%K -5.85%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -6.52%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-26 16:29
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.06%E -2.57%K -6.99%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.77%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-26 12:09
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.06%E -2.57%K -6.99%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.77%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-26 12:29
DraftKings🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -4.06%E -2.57%K -6.99%G +0.000%	2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.79%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-26 05:09
1xBet🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.06%E -2.57%K -6.99%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.52%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-27 01:29
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.60%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-27 01:39
Bovada🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.77%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-27 01:18
BetAnything🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.77%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-26 13:14
Fanatics🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-26 17:14
Virgin Bet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-26 10:04
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-26 10:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-26 10:04
betfred_uk🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.52%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-26 05:09
888sport🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.52%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-26 17:44
William Hill🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.52%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-26 17:44
BoyleSports🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.52%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-26 12:28
888sport (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.52%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-26 17:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.52%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-26 17:44
Betr (AU)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.70%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-27 00:04
Sky Bet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.63%E -5.17%K -9.30%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-26 16:29
Paddy Power🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.63%E -5.17%K -9.30%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-26 16:29
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-26 10:04
BetRivers🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-26 10:04
Unibet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-26 10:04
Grosvenor🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-26 10:04
Casumo🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-26 10:04
TABtouch🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-26 10:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-26 10:04
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-26 10:04
ATG (SE)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-26 10:04
Svenska Spel🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-26 10:04
Bally Bet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-26 10:10
betPARX🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-26 10:10
Caesars🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.70%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-27 01:36
SportsBet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -8.49%E -3.64%K -6.38%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-26 16:29
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000%	2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -2.99%E -1.21%K -2.03%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-27 01:39
ReBet🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000%	2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -3.38%E -1.37%K -2.32%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-27 01:39
Marathon Bet🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -4.56%E -1.88%K -3.19%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-27 01:34
Bet Right🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-27 01:19
LeoVegas🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-26 17:44
Betway🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-26 21:54
PlayUp🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-26 21:54
Neds🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.70%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-26 21:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.70%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-26 21:35
theScore Bet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.49%E -4.21%K -12.01%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.77%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-27 01:39
Betsson🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.49%E -4.21%K -12.01%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -4.56%E -1.88%K -3.19%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-27 01:39
NordicBet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.49%E -4.21%K -12.01%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -4.56%E -1.88%K -3.19%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-27 01:39
PMU (FR)🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.49%E -4.21%K -12.01%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.70%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-26 10:04
GTbets🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000%	2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -0.632%E -0.250%K -0.413%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-26 07:49
BetMGM🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.77%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-26 21:35
Coral🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-26 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-26 21:34
Bet Victor🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.52%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-27 01:19
betano_uk🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.52%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-27 01:18
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.70%E -5.07%K -14.81%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.70%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-27 01:39
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.70%E -5.07%K -14.81%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.70%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-26 21:59
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -8.31%E -5.50%K -16.29%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.70%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-08-27 01:29

Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostas	Local	Visitante	Margem ▲	Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%	2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%	0.2%	2026-08-27 01:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%	2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%	0.2%	2026-08-27 01:39
Matchbook◎	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%	2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%	0.2%	2026-08-27 01:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%	2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%	0.5%	2026-08-27 01:34
Novig◎	1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%	2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%	1.0%	2026-08-27 01:39
ProphetX◎	1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%	2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%	1.0%	2026-08-27 01:39