Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clara Tauson v Renata Zarazua

Kickoff: 2026-08-25 01:33 UTC

Final: Clara Tauson 2–1 Renata Zarazua

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clara Tauson (Local)

Prediction 72.83%1.37fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -2.35%
Kelly -9.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.64%72.72%72.87%74.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.301.301.3380.65%76.94%76.92%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Renata Zarazua (Visit)

Prediction 27.17%3.68fair odd
EV +0.518%
Edge +0.140%
Kelly +0.192%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.25%27.28%27.13%29.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.453.453.7031.25%28.96%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Clara Tauson (Local): 72.83%; Renata Zarazua (Visit): 27.17%. For Renata Zarazua (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.518%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -7.50%E -5.91%K -27.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV +0.518%E +0.140%K +0.192%G +0.001%5.8%2026-08-24 23:10
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.96%E -7.17%K -35.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +0.518%E +0.140%K +0.192%G +0.001%7.0%2026-08-24 23:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -0.840%E -0.230%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-25 01:05
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.08%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.92%EV -1.93%E -0.534%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-25 00:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.37%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV -1.93%E -0.534%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-25 01:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.37%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV -1.93%E -0.534%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-25 01:05
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.20%E -0.611%K -0.846%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-24 23:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.20%E -0.611%K -0.846%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 01:05
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.20%E -0.611%K -0.846%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 01:05
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.77%E -5.29%K -24.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.20%E -0.611%K -0.846%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 01:05
ReBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.56%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 01:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.56%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-25 01:04
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.82%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.18%EV -4.64%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-24 23:04
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.92%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 01:14
BetAnything🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.92%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-24 23:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.92%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-24 12:49
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.92%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.92%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-25 01:05
Fanatics🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.92%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-25 01:04
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.92%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-24 22:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.92%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-24 23:04
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.96%E -7.17%K -35.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.92%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 23:04
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.96%E -7.17%K -35.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.92%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 23:04
GTbets🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.67%EV -9.69%E -7.81%K -40.36%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.33%EV -5.73%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 15:20
Bet Right🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 01:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 23:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 18:49
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 01:04
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:48
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:48
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 15:15
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 10:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 10:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-25 01:04
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-24 16:18
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.50%E -5.91%K -27.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 15:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -8.96%E -7.17%K -35.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-25 01:09
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.86%E -2.92%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.99%E -2.68%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-24 14:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.99%E -2.68%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-24 12:49
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-24 13:34
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-24 13:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-24 13:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-24 13:34
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.86%E -2.92%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 01:20
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.86%E -2.92%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 01:19
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.71%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-25 01:18
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.71%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-25 01:23
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.07%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.07%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 15:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-08-25 01:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-08-25 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-08-25 01:24
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-08-25 01:24
ProphetX1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-08-25 01:20
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-08-25 01:19