Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Clara Tauson v Renata Zarazua

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-25 01:33 UTC

Score final : Clara Tauson 2–1 Renata Zarazua

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Clara Tauson (Local)

Prévision 72.83%1.37cote équitable
EV -3.13%
Avantage -2.35%
Kelly -9.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.64%72.72%72.87%74.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.241.301.301.3380.65%76.94%76.92%75.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Renata Zarazua (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.17%3.68cote équitable
EV +0.518%
Avantage +0.140%
Kelly +0.192%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.25%27.28%27.13%29.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.453.453.7031.25%28.96%28.99%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Clara Tauson (Local) : 72.83% ; Renata Zarazua (Visiteur) : 27.17%. Pour Renata Zarazua (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.68. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.70, soit une espérance positive de +0.518%.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -7.50%E -5.91%K -27.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV +0.518%E +0.140%K +0.192%G +0.001%5.8%2026-08-24 23:10
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.96%E -7.17%K -35.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +0.518%E +0.140%K +0.192%G +0.001%7.0%2026-08-24 23:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -0.840%E -0.230%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-25 01:05
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.08%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.92%EV -1.93%E -0.534%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-25 00:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.37%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV -1.93%E -0.534%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-25 01:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.37%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV -1.93%E -0.534%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-25 01:05
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.20%E -0.611%K -0.846%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-24 23:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.20%E -0.611%K -0.846%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 01:05
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.20%E -0.611%K -0.846%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 01:05
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.77%E -5.29%K -24.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.20%E -0.611%K -0.846%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 01:05
ReBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.56%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 01:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.56%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-25 01:04
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.82%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.18%EV -4.64%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-24 23:04
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.92%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 01:14
BetAnything🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.92%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-24 23:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.92%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-24 12:49
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.92%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.92%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-25 01:05
Fanatics🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.92%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-25 01:04
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.92%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-24 22:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.92%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-24 23:04
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.96%E -7.17%K -35.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.92%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 23:04
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.96%E -7.17%K -35.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.92%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 23:04
GTbets🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.67%EV -9.69%E -7.81%K -40.36%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.33%EV -5.73%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 15:20
Bet Right🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 01:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 23:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 18:49
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 01:04
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:48
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:48
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 15:15
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 10:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 10:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-25 01:04
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-24 16:18
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.50%E -5.91%K -27.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 15:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -8.96%E -7.17%K -35.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-25 01:09
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.86%E -2.92%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.99%E -2.68%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-24 14:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.99%E -2.68%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-24 12:49
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-24 13:34
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-24 13:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-24 13:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-24 13:34
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.86%E -2.92%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 01:20
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.86%E -2.92%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 01:19
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.71%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-25 01:18
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.71%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-25 01:23
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.07%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.07%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 15:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-08-25 01:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-08-25 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-08-25 01:24
Matchbook◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-08-25 01:24
ProphetX◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-08-25 01:20
Novig◎1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-08-25 01:19