Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Clara Tauson v Renata Zarazua

Início: 2026-08-25 01:33 UTC

Final: Clara Tauson 2–1 Renata Zarazua

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Clara Tauson (Local)

Previsão 72.83%1.37odd justa
EV -3.13%
Vantagem -2.35%
Kelly -9.49%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
70.64%72.72%72.87%74.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.241.301.301.3380.65%76.94%76.92%75.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Renata Zarazua (Visitante)

Previsão 27.17%3.68odd justa
EV +0.518%
Vantagem +0.140%
Kelly +0.192%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.25%27.28%27.13%29.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.453.453.7031.25%28.96%28.99%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Clara Tauson (Local): 72.83%; Renata Zarazua (Visitante): 27.17%. Para Renata Zarazua (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.68. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.70, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.518%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -7.50%E -5.91%K -27.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV +0.518%E +0.140%K +0.192%G +0.001%5.8%2026-08-24 23:10
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.96%E -7.17%K -35.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +0.518%E +0.140%K +0.192%G +0.001%7.0%2026-08-24 23:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -0.840%E -0.230%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-25 01:05
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.08%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.92%EV -1.93%E -0.534%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-25 00:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.37%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV -1.93%E -0.534%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-25 01:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.37%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV -1.93%E -0.534%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-25 01:05
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.20%E -0.611%K -0.846%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-24 23:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.20%E -0.611%K -0.846%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 01:05
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.20%E -0.611%K -0.846%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 01:05
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.77%E -5.29%K -24.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.20%E -0.611%K -0.846%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 01:05
ReBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.56%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 01:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.56%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-25 01:04
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.82%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.18%EV -4.64%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-24 23:04
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.92%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 01:14
BetAnything🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.92%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-24 23:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.92%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-24 12:49
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.92%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.92%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-25 01:05
Fanatics🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.92%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-25 01:04
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.92%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-24 22:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.92%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-24 23:04
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.96%E -7.17%K -35.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.92%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 23:04
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.96%E -7.17%K -35.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.92%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 23:04
GTbets🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.67%EV -9.69%E -7.81%K -40.36%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.33%EV -5.73%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 15:20
Bet Right🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 01:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 23:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 18:49
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 01:04
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:48
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:48
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 12:49
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 15:15
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 10:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 10:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-25 01:04
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-24 16:18
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.50%E -5.91%K -27.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 15:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -8.96%E -7.17%K -35.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-25 01:09
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.86%E -2.92%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.99%E -2.68%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-24 14:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.99%E -2.68%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-24 12:49
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-24 13:34
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-24 13:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-24 13:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-24 13:34
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.86%E -2.92%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 01:20
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.86%E -2.92%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 01:19
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.71%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-25 01:18
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.71%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-25 01:23
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.07%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.07%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 15:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-08-25 01:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-08-25 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-08-25 01:24
Matchbook◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-08-25 01:24
ProphetX◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-08-25 01:20
Novig◎1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-08-25 01:19