Language:English
Sorana Cirstea v Coco Gauff
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sorana Cirstea (Local)
Prediction 39.48%2.53fair odd
EV +4.63%
Edge +1.75%
Kelly +2.80%
Growth +0.130%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.27%39.73%39.27%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.392.382.6547.62%41.85%42.02%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Coco Gauff (Visit)
Prediction 60.52%1.65fair odd
EV +3.49%
Edge +2.04%
Kelly +4.91%
Growth +0.171%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%60.27%60.73%63.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.561.561.7167.57%63.99%64.31%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sorana Cirstea (Local): 39.48%; Coco Gauff (Visit): 60.52%. For Sorana Cirstea (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.63%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -15.11%E -7.03%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV +3.49%E +2.04%K +4.91%G +0.171% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 18:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +1.07%E +0.638%K +1.59%G +0.017% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -0.145%E -0.088%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-23 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -1.36%E -0.832%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-23 18:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.17%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 18:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-23 18:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-23 18:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -17.09%E -8.14%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-23 18:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.57%E -1.59%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 18:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -11.17%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -2.57%E -1.59%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-23 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -2.57%E -1.59%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-23 18:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -2.57%E -1.59%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-23 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.17%E -1.98%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 18:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.17%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.17%E -1.98%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.17%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.17%E -1.98%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 18:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.17%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.17%E -1.98%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.78%E -2.37%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-23 18:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.99%E -3.18%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-23 18:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.99%E -3.18%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-23 18:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -4.99%E -3.18%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-23 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.06%E -1.67%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.59%E -3.58%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%EV -4.85%E -2.01%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -5.59%E -3.58%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-23 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -8.01%E -3.44%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.59%E -3.58%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-23 18:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.59%E -3.58%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-23 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV +4.63%E +1.75%K +2.80%G +0.130% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -6.20%E -4.00%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-23 18:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV +2.65%E +1.02%K +1.66%G +0.044% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -6.20%E -4.00%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-23 18:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV +1.86%E +0.722%K +1.18%G +0.022% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -6.20%E -4.00%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-23 18:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.20%E -4.00%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 18:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -6.03%E -2.53%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.20%E -4.00%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-23 18:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -6.80%E -4.42%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-23 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +4.63%E +1.75%K +2.80%G +0.130% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -7.41%E -4.84%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-23 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +4.63%E +1.75%K +2.80%G +0.130% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -7.41%E -4.84%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-23 18:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.41%E -4.84%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.03%E -2.53%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.41%E -4.84%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.41%E -4.84%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-23 18:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV +2.65%E +1.02%K +1.66%G +0.044% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -8.01%E -5.27%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +0.679%E +0.266%K +0.438%G +0.003% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -8.01%E -5.27%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.01%E -5.27%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 18:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +4.63%E +1.75%K +2.80%G +0.130% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -8.62%E -5.71%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-23 18:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.65%E +1.02%K +1.66%G +0.044% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.62%E -5.71%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.679%E +0.266%K +0.438%G +0.003% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.62%E -5.71%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.679%E +0.266%K +0.438%G +0.003% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.62%E -5.71%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.62%E -5.71%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 18:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -8.62%E -5.71%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-23 18:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +2.65%E +1.02%K +1.66%G +0.044% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -9.22%E -6.15%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +2.65%E +1.02%K +1.66%G +0.044% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -9.22%E -6.15%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.22%E -6.15%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.22%E -6.15%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.22%E -6.15%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-23 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.33%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.22%E -6.15%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.33%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.22%E -6.15%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.22%E -6.15%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-23 18:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +2.65%E +1.02%K +1.66%G +0.044% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -10.43%E -7.05%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -0.506%E -0.201%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -10.43%E -7.05%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-03-23 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-03-23 18:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-03-23 18:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-03-23 18:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 1.4% | 2026-03-23 18:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40% | 3.2% | 2026-03-23 18:49 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82% | 5.6% | 2026-03-23 18:50 |