La escuela de los momios

Sorana Cirstea v Coco Gauff

Inicio: 2026-03-23 18:53 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sorana Cirstea (Local)

Predicción 39.48%2.53momio equitativo
EV +4.63%
Ventaja +1.75%
Kelly +2.80%
Crecimiento +0.130%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.27%39.73%39.27%44.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.392.382.6547.62%41.85%42.02%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Coco Gauff (Visitante)

Predicción 60.52%1.65momio equitativo
EV +3.49%
Ventaja +2.04%
Kelly +4.91%
Crecimiento +0.171%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.70%60.27%60.73%63.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.561.561.7167.57%63.99%64.31%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -15.11%E -7.03%K -13.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV +3.49%E +2.04%K +4.91%G +0.171%5.0%2026-03-23 18:49
Caesars2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +1.07%E +0.638%K +1.59%G +0.017%5.3%2026-03-23 18:50
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -0.145%E -0.088%K -0.223%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-23 18:50
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -1.36%E -0.832%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 18:49
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:50
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:50
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:50
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:50
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:50
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:50
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.17%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 18:49
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-23 18:49
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-23 18:49
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -17.09%E -8.14%K -15.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-23 18:49
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.57%E -1.59%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 18:49
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -11.17%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -2.57%E -1.59%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-23 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -2.57%E -1.59%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 18:49
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -2.57%E -1.59%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 18:50
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.17%E -1.98%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 18:49
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.17%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.17%E -1.98%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 18:50
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.17%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.17%E -1.98%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 18:50
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.17%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.17%E -1.98%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 18:50
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.78%E -2.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 18:49
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.99%E -3.18%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-23 18:49
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.99%E -3.18%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-23 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -4.99%E -3.18%K -8.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-23 18:50
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.06%E -1.67%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.59%E -3.58%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 18:50
DraftKings2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%EV -4.85%E -2.01%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -5.59%E -3.58%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 18:50
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -8.01%E -3.44%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.59%E -3.58%K -9.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 18:50
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.59%E -3.58%K -9.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 18:50
Pinnacle2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV +4.63%E +1.75%K +2.80%G +0.130%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -6.20%E -4.00%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-23 18:45
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV +2.65%E +1.02%K +1.66%G +0.044%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -6.20%E -4.00%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-23 18:44
1xBet2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV +1.86%E +0.722%K +1.18%G +0.022%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -6.20%E -4.00%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-23 18:29
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.20%E -4.00%K -11.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 18:50
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -6.03%E -2.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.20%E -4.00%K -11.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-23 18:49
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -6.80%E -4.42%K -12.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-23 18:50
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +4.63%E +1.75%K +2.80%G +0.130%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -7.41%E -4.84%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-23 18:45
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +4.63%E +1.75%K +2.80%G +0.130%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -7.41%E -4.84%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-23 18:45
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.41%E -4.84%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 18:34
PMU (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.03%E -2.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.41%E -4.84%K -13.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-23 18:34
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.41%E -4.84%K -13.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-23 18:49
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV +2.65%E +1.02%K +1.66%G +0.044%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -8.01%E -5.27%K -15.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 18:34
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +0.679%E +0.266%K +0.438%G +0.003%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -8.01%E -5.27%K -15.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 18:34
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.01%E -5.27%K -15.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 18:49
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +4.63%E +1.75%K +2.80%G +0.130%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -8.62%E -5.71%K -16.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 18:44
ReBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.65%E +1.02%K +1.66%G +0.044%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.62%E -5.71%K -16.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 18:34
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.679%E +0.266%K +0.438%G +0.003%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.62%E -5.71%K -16.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 18:34
Fanatics2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.679%E +0.266%K +0.438%G +0.003%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.62%E -5.71%K -16.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 18:34
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.62%E -5.71%K -16.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 18:44
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -8.62%E -5.71%K -16.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-23 18:45
GTbets2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +2.65%E +1.02%K +1.66%G +0.044%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -9.22%E -6.15%K -18.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 18:35
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +2.65%E +1.02%K +1.66%G +0.044%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -9.22%E -6.15%K -18.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 18:34
Parions Sport (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.22%E -6.15%K -18.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-23 18:34
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.22%E -6.15%K -18.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-23 18:34
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.22%E -6.15%K -18.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-23 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.33%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.22%E -6.15%K -18.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-23 18:35
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.33%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.22%E -6.15%K -18.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-23 18:34
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.22%E -6.15%K -18.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-23 18:44
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +2.65%E +1.02%K +1.66%G +0.044%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -10.43%E -7.05%K -21.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 18:34
NetBet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -0.506%E -0.201%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -10.43%E -7.05%K -21.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-23 18:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-03-23 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-03-23 18:50
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-03-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-03-23 18:50
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%1.4%2026-03-23 18:50
Novig2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%3.2%2026-03-23 18:49
ProphetX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%5.6%2026-03-23 18:50