L’École des cotes

Sorana Cirstea v Coco Gauff

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-23 18:53 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sorana Cirstea (Local)

Prévision 39.48%2.53cote équitable
EV +4.63%
Avantage +1.75%
Kelly +2.80%
Croissance +0.130%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.27%39.73%39.27%44.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.392.382.6547.62%41.85%42.02%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Coco Gauff (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.52%1.65cote équitable
EV +3.49%
Avantage +2.04%
Kelly +4.91%
Croissance +0.171%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.70%60.27%60.73%63.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.561.561.7167.57%63.99%64.31%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -15.11%E -7.03%K -13.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV +3.49%E +2.04%K +4.91%G +0.171%5.0%2026-03-23 18:49
Caesars2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +1.07%E +0.638%K +1.59%G +0.017%5.3%2026-03-23 18:50
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -0.145%E -0.088%K -0.223%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-23 18:50
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -1.36%E -0.832%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 18:49
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:50
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:50
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:50
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:50
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:50
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:50
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.17%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 18:49
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-23 18:49
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-23 18:49
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -17.09%E -8.14%K -15.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-23 18:49
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.57%E -1.59%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 18:49
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -11.17%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -2.57%E -1.59%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-23 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -2.57%E -1.59%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 18:49
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -2.57%E -1.59%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 18:50
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.17%E -1.98%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 18:49
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.17%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.17%E -1.98%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 18:50
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.17%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.17%E -1.98%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 18:50
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.17%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.17%E -1.98%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 18:50
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.78%E -2.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 18:49
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.99%E -3.18%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-23 18:49
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.99%E -3.18%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-23 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -4.99%E -3.18%K -8.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-23 18:50
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.06%E -1.67%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.59%E -3.58%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 18:50
DraftKings2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%EV -4.85%E -2.01%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -5.59%E -3.58%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 18:50
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -8.01%E -3.44%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.59%E -3.58%K -9.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 18:50
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.59%E -3.58%K -9.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 18:50
Pinnacle2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV +4.63%E +1.75%K +2.80%G +0.130%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -6.20%E -4.00%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-23 18:45
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV +2.65%E +1.02%K +1.66%G +0.044%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -6.20%E -4.00%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-23 18:44
1xBet2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV +1.86%E +0.722%K +1.18%G +0.022%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -6.20%E -4.00%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-23 18:29
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.20%E -4.00%K -11.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 18:50
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -6.03%E -2.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.20%E -4.00%K -11.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-23 18:49
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -6.80%E -4.42%K -12.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-23 18:50
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +4.63%E +1.75%K +2.80%G +0.130%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -7.41%E -4.84%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-23 18:45
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +4.63%E +1.75%K +2.80%G +0.130%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -7.41%E -4.84%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-23 18:45
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.41%E -4.84%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 18:34
PMU (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.03%E -2.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.41%E -4.84%K -13.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-23 18:34
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.41%E -4.84%K -13.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-23 18:49
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV +2.65%E +1.02%K +1.66%G +0.044%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -8.01%E -5.27%K -15.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 18:34
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +0.679%E +0.266%K +0.438%G +0.003%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -8.01%E -5.27%K -15.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 18:34
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.01%E -5.27%K -15.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 18:49
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +4.63%E +1.75%K +2.80%G +0.130%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -8.62%E -5.71%K -16.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 18:44
ReBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.65%E +1.02%K +1.66%G +0.044%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.62%E -5.71%K -16.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 18:34
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.679%E +0.266%K +0.438%G +0.003%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.62%E -5.71%K -16.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 18:34
Fanatics2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.679%E +0.266%K +0.438%G +0.003%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.62%E -5.71%K -16.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 18:34
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.62%E -5.71%K -16.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 18:44
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -8.62%E -5.71%K -16.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-23 18:45
GTbets2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +2.65%E +1.02%K +1.66%G +0.044%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -9.22%E -6.15%K -18.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 18:35
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +2.65%E +1.02%K +1.66%G +0.044%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -9.22%E -6.15%K -18.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 18:34
Parions Sport (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.22%E -6.15%K -18.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-23 18:34
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.22%E -6.15%K -18.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-23 18:34
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.30%E -0.518%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.22%E -6.15%K -18.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-23 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.33%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.22%E -6.15%K -18.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-23 18:35
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.33%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.22%E -6.15%K -18.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-23 18:34
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.24%E -2.18%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.22%E -6.15%K -18.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-23 18:44
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +2.65%E +1.02%K +1.66%G +0.044%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -10.43%E -7.05%K -21.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 18:34
NetBet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -0.506%E -0.201%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -10.43%E -7.05%K -21.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-23 18:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-03-23 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-03-23 18:50
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-03-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-03-23 18:50
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%1.4%2026-03-23 18:50
Novig2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%3.2%2026-03-23 18:49
ProphetX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%5.6%2026-03-23 18:50