Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Solana Sierra v Jaqueline Cristian

Kickoff: 2026-03-18 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Solana Sierra (Local)

Prediction 34.41%2.91fair odd
EV +3.23%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.61%
Growth +0.052%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.82%34.29%34.52%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.702.653.0040.00%37.05%37.74%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jaqueline Cristian (Visit)

Prediction 65.59%1.52fair odd
EV -0.959%
Edge -0.635%
Kelly -1.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%65.71%65.48%68.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.451.461.5172.46%68.76%68.49%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Solana Sierra (Local): 34.41%; Jaqueline Cristian (Visit): 65.59%. For Solana Sierra (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.23%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV +3.23%E +1.08%K +1.61%G +0.052%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-16 20:35
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +3.23%E +1.08%K +1.61%G +0.052%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-16 18:10
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +3.23%E +1.08%K +1.61%G +0.052%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-16 18:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV +1.16%E +0.396%K +0.600%G +0.007%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-16 20:45
Bet Right🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV +0.477%E +0.163%K +0.248%G +0.001%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -7.52%E -5.33%K -18.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-16 20:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.211%E -0.073%K -0.111%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-16 20:45
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -0.211%E -0.073%K -0.111%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -9.49%E -6.87%K -24.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-16 20:10
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.93%E -0.678%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-16 20:40
GTbets🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -2.62%E -0.926%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 03:09
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.89%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 05:40
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.89%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 23:45
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 01:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 01:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 01:15
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 01:14
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 21:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -6.41%E -2.35%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.27%E -1.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -6.41%E -2.35%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.27%E -1.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-16 23:59
Pinnacle🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -0.959%E -0.635%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-17 05:55
BetUS🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.65%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.35%EV -2.27%E -1.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 00:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 06:12
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 06:14
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 06:15
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 06:15
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 06:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 06:14
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 06:15
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 06:15
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 06:14
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 06:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 06:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 06:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 06:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 06:14
Fliff🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 05:39
FanDuel🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -9.16%E -3.47%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -1.61%E -1.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-17 08:54
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.85%E -3.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 02:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.85%E -3.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 00:55
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.85%E -3.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 03:45
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.53%E -4.05%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.61%E -1.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 09:04
Caesars🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.53%E -4.05%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 14:57
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.53%E -4.05%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.24%E -2.90%K -9.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 06:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.53%E -4.05%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.24%E -2.90%K -9.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 06:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.53%E -4.05%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 00:55
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.53%E -4.05%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 00:55
SportsBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -11.22%E -4.35%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.90%K -9.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 05:54
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.25%E -4.81%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.61%E -1.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 08:14
Everygame🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -12.25%E -4.81%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -4.89%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 05:40
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -13.98%E -5.59%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -1.61%E -1.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 05:39
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -13.98%E -5.59%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 05:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%4.9%2026-03-16 23:36
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 27.50%1.10I 90.91%NM 72.50%25.4%2026-03-17 06:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 27.50%1.10I 90.91%NM 72.50%25.4%2026-03-17 06:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 27.50%1.10I 90.91%NM 72.50%25.4%2026-03-17 06:49