L’École des cotes

Solana Sierra v Jaqueline Cristian

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-18 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Solana Sierra (Local)

Prévision 34.41%2.91cote équitable
EV +3.23%
Avantage +1.08%
Kelly +1.61%
Croissance +0.052%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.82%34.29%34.52%37.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.702.653.0040.00%37.05%37.74%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jaqueline Cristian (Visiteur)

Prévision 65.59%1.52cote équitable
EV -0.959%
Avantage -0.635%
Kelly -1.88%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.50%65.71%65.48%68.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.451.461.5172.46%68.76%68.49%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV +3.23%E +1.08%K +1.61%G +0.052%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-16 20:35
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +3.23%E +1.08%K +1.61%G +0.052%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-16 18:10
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +3.23%E +1.08%K +1.61%G +0.052%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-16 18:10
PointsBet (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV +1.16%E +0.396%K +0.600%G +0.007%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-16 20:45
Bet Right2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV +0.477%E +0.163%K +0.248%G +0.001%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -7.52%E -5.33%K -18.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-16 20:35
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.211%E -0.073%K -0.111%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-16 20:45
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -0.211%E -0.073%K -0.111%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -9.49%E -6.87%K -24.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-16 20:10
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.93%E -0.678%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-16 20:40
GTbets2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -2.62%E -0.926%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 03:09
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.89%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 05:40
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.89%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 23:45
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 01:15
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 01:15
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 01:15
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 01:14
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 21:29
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -6.41%E -2.35%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.27%E -1.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 00:00
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -6.41%E -2.35%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.27%E -1.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-16 23:59
Pinnacle2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -0.959%E -0.635%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-17 05:55
BetUS2.69I 37.17%NM 35.65%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.35%EV -2.27%E -1.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 00:00
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 06:12
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 06:14
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 06:15
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 06:15
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 06:15
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 06:14
Bally Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 06:15
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 06:15
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 06:14
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 06:14
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 06:15
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 06:14
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 06:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 06:14
Fliff2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 05:39
FanDuel2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -9.16%E -3.47%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -1.61%E -1.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-17 08:54
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.85%E -3.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 02:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.85%E -3.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 00:55
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.85%E -3.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 03:45
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.53%E -4.05%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.61%E -1.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 09:04
Caesars2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.53%E -4.05%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 14:57
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.53%E -4.05%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.24%E -2.90%K -9.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 06:14
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.53%E -4.05%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.24%E -2.90%K -9.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 06:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.53%E -4.05%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 00:55
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.53%E -4.05%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 00:55
SportsBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -11.22%E -4.35%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.90%K -9.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 05:54
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.25%E -4.81%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.61%E -1.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 08:14
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -12.25%E -4.81%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -4.89%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 05:40
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -13.98%E -5.59%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -1.61%E -1.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 05:39
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -13.98%E -5.59%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 05:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%4.9%2026-03-16 23:36
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 27.50%1.10I 90.91%NM 72.50%25.4%2026-03-17 06:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 27.50%1.10I 90.91%NM 72.50%25.4%2026-03-17 06:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 27.50%1.10I 90.91%NM 72.50%25.4%2026-03-17 06:49