Solana Sierra v Jaqueline Cristian

Inicio: 2026-03-18 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (15 en el análisis )

34%

66%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Solana Sierra (Local)

Predicción 34.41%2.91momio equitativo

EV +3.23%

Ventaja +1.08%

Kelly +1.61%

Crecimiento +0.052%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

31.82%34.29%34.52%37.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

2.502.702.653.0040.00%37.05%37.74%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jaqueline Cristian (Visitante)

Predicción 65.59%1.52momio equitativo

EV -0.959%

Ventaja -0.635%

Kelly -1.88%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

62.50%65.71%65.48%68.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

1.381.451.461.5172.46%68.76%68.49%66.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
Coolbet	3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV +3.23%E +1.08%K +1.61%G +0.052%	1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-03-16 20:35
NordicBet	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +3.23%E +1.08%K +1.61%G +0.052%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-16 18:10
Betsson	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +3.23%E +1.08%K +1.61%G +0.052%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-16 18:10
PointsBet (AU)	2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV +1.16%E +0.396%K +0.600%G +0.007%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-16 20:45
Bet Right	2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV +0.477%E +0.163%K +0.248%G +0.001%	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -7.52%E -5.33%K -18.34%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-16 20:35
Betr (AU)	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.211%E -0.073%K -0.111%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-16 20:45
theScore Bet	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -0.211%E -0.073%K -0.111%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -9.49%E -6.87%K -24.96%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-16 20:10
DraftKings	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.93%E -0.678%K -1.04%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-16 20:40
GTbets	2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -2.62%E -0.926%K -1.43%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-17 03:09
Betway	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.89%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-17 05:40
Fanatics	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.89%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-16 23:45
888sport	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-17 01:15
888sport (SE)	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-17 01:15
Mr Green (SE)	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-17 01:15
William Hill	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-17 01:14
Bet Victor	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-03-16 21:29
LowVig.ag	2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -6.41%E -2.35%K -3.72%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.27%E -1.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-03-17 00:00
BetOnline.ag	2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -6.41%E -2.35%K -3.72%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.27%E -1.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-03-16 23:59
Pinnacle	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -0.959%E -0.635%K -1.88%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-03-17 05:55
BetUS	2.69I 37.17%NM 35.65%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.35%EV -2.27%E -1.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-17 00:00
Hard Rock Bet	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.10%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-17 06:12
LeoVegas	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-17 06:14
BetRivers	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-17 06:15
Casumo	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-17 06:15
Grosvenor	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-17 06:15
Unibet (NL)	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-17 06:14
Bally Bet	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-17 06:15
betPARX	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-17 06:15
TABtouch	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-17 06:14
Unibet	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-17 06:14
ATG (SE)	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-17 06:15
Svenska Spel	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-17 06:14
Unibet (SE)	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-17 06:15
LeoVegas (SE)	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-17 06:14
Fliff	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.43%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-03-17 05:39
FanDuel	2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -9.16%E -3.47%K -5.58%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -1.61%E -1.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-17 08:54
Coral	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.85%E -3.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-17 02:19
Ladbrokes (UK)	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.85%E -3.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-17 00:55
BoyleSports	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.85%E -3.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-17 03:45
Paddy Power	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.53%E -4.05%K -6.58%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.61%E -1.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-17 09:04
Caesars	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.53%E -4.05%K -6.58%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.10%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-17 14:57
Virgin Bet	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.53%E -4.05%K -6.58%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.24%E -2.90%K -9.21%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-17 06:14
LiveScore Bet	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.53%E -4.05%K -6.58%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.24%E -2.90%K -9.21%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-17 06:14
Ladbrokes (AU)	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.53%E -4.05%K -6.58%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-03-17 00:55
Neds	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.53%E -4.05%K -6.58%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-03-17 00:55
SportsBet	2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -11.22%E -4.35%K -7.10%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.90%K -9.21%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-03-17 05:54
PlayUp	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.25%E -4.81%K -7.91%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.61%E -1.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-17 08:14
Everygame	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -12.25%E -4.81%K -7.91%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -4.89%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-03-17 05:40
TAB	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -13.98%E -5.59%K -9.32%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -1.61%E -1.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-17 05:39
1xBet	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -13.98%E -5.59%K -9.32%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-03-17 05:39

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Smarkets	2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%	4.9%	2026-03-16 23:36
Betfair Exchange (UK)	2.90I 34.48%NM 27.50%	1.10I 90.91%NM 72.50%	25.4%	2026-03-17 06:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)	2.90I 34.48%NM 27.50%	1.10I 90.91%NM 72.50%	25.4%	2026-03-17 06:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)	2.90I 34.48%NM 27.50%	1.10I 90.91%NM 72.50%	25.4%	2026-03-17 06:49