The School of Odds

Paula Badosa v Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Matchstart: 2026-03-19 19:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

43 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Paula Badosa (Hemma)

Prognos 94.00%1.06rättvist odds
EV +46.63%
Fördel +29.89%
Kelly +83.28%
Tillväxt +38.84%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.56

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
62.14%93.90%93.66%98.70%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.001.051.021.56100.00%95.47%98.04%64.10%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Borta)

Prognos 6.00%16.66rättvist odds
EV +356.28%
Fördel +4.69%
Kelly +4.75%
Tillväxt +16.92%

med antagandet om högsta odds 76.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
1.30%6.10%6.34%37.86%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.5617.6413.0076.0039.06%5.67%7.69%1.32%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (43 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV +46.63%E +29.89%K +83.28%G +38.84%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -84.63%E -33.06%K -54.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 14:10
Casumo1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV +4.34%E +3.91%K +39.42%G +1.71%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -59.48%E -8.81%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 15:49
betPARX1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV +4.34%E +3.91%K +39.42%G +1.71%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -59.48%E -8.81%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 15:49
BetRivers1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV +4.34%E +3.91%K +39.42%G +1.71%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -62.48%E -10.00%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 15:49
TAB1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV +4.34%E +3.91%K +39.42%G +1.71%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -63.98%E -10.66%K -12.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 15:49
Grosvenor1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV +3.40%E +3.09%K +33.96%G +1.15%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -62.48%E -10.00%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 15:49
Bally Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV +3.40%E +3.09%K +33.96%G +1.15%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -62.48%E -10.00%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 15:49
Pinnacle1.07I 93.46%NM 92.81%EV +0.576%E +0.538%K +8.23%G +0.047%13.82I 7.24%NM 7.19%EV -17.03%E -1.23%K -1.33%G +0.000%0.7%2026-03-19 16:00
Unibet (NL)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV +0.576%E +0.538%K +8.23%G +0.047%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -48.97%E -5.76%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 15:50
Svenska Spel1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV +0.576%E +0.538%K +8.23%G +0.047%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -48.97%E -5.76%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 15:50
ATG (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV +0.576%E +0.538%K +8.23%G +0.047%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -48.97%E -5.76%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 15:50
TABtouch1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV +0.576%E +0.538%K +8.23%G +0.047%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -51.97%E -6.50%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 15:50
Unibet (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -2.24%E -2.16%K -56.09%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -36.96%E -3.52%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 15:53
Unibet1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -2.24%E -2.16%K -56.09%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -36.96%E -3.52%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 15:54
Bet Victor1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -2.24%E -2.16%K -56.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -42.97%E -4.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 15:56
Fliff1.04I 96.15%NM 88.62%EV -2.24%E -2.16%K -56.09%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.38%EV -51.37%E -6.34%K -7.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 15:50
Winamax (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 94.86%EV -3.18%E -3.09%K -106.12%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.14%EV +14.07%E +0.740%K +0.782%G +0.110%2.4%2026-03-19 15:57
BoyleSports1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.18%E -3.09%K -106.12%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -9.95%E -0.663%K -0.710%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 15:57
Bovada1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.18%E -3.09%K -106.12%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -21.95%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 16:01
LiveScore Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -3.18%E -3.09%K -106.12%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -42.97%E -4.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 15:53
Coral1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.12%E -4.04%K -206.18%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +2.06%E +0.121%K +0.129%G +0.003%3.9%2026-03-19 15:58
Coolbet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.12%E -4.04%K -206.18%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -9.95%E -0.663%K -0.710%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 15:57
Hard Rock Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.12%E -4.04%K -206.18%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -9.95%E -0.663%K -0.710%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 15:52
NordicBet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.12%E -4.04%K -206.18%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -24.95%E -2.00%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 15:57
Virgin Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.12%E -4.04%K -206.18%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -27.96%E -2.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 15:53
Caesars1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.12%E -4.04%K -206.18%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -27.96%E -2.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 15:58
Winamax (DE)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.37%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +20.07%E +1.00%K +1.06%G +0.212%4.0%2026-03-19 15:57
Betway1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.37%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +8.07%E +0.448%K +0.474%G +0.038%4.6%2026-03-19 15:55
888sport1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.37%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -9.95%E -0.663%K -0.710%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 15:57
888sport (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.37%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -9.95%E -0.663%K -0.710%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 15:56
Mr Green (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.37%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -9.95%E -0.663%K -0.710%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 15:56
Betsson1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.37%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -12.95%E -0.893%K -0.959%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 15:58
BetMGM1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.37%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -18.95%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 15:57
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.37%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -30.96%E -2.69%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 15:53
LeoVegas (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.37%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -36.96%E -3.52%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 15:51
FanDuel1.00I 100.00%NM 98.70%EV -6.00%E -6.00%K +0.000%G +0.000%76.00I 1.32%NM 1.30%EV +356.28%E +4.69%K +4.75%G +16.92%1.3%2026-03-19 15:57
Paddy Power1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -6.00%E -6.00%K +0.000%G +0.000%67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +302.24%E +4.51%K +4.58%G +13.84%1.5%2026-03-19 15:58
SportsBet1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%EV -6.00%E -6.00%K +0.000%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%EV +206.18%E +4.04%K +4.12%G +8.50%2.0%2026-03-19 15:59
DraftKings1.00I 100.00%NM 97.83%EV -6.00%E -6.00%K +0.000%G +0.000%45.00I 2.22%NM 2.17%EV +170.16%E +3.78%K +3.87%G +6.58%2.2%2026-03-19 15:58
theScore Bet1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -6.00%E -6.00%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +146.15%E +3.56%K +3.65%G +5.34%2.4%2026-03-19 15:58
Ladbrokes (UK)1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -6.00%E -6.00%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +104.12%E +3.06%K +3.16%G +3.29%2.9%2026-03-19 15:59
Fanatics1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -6.00%E -6.00%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +56.09%E +2.16%K +2.24%G +1.26%3.8%2026-03-19 15:58
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -6.00%E -6.00%K +0.000%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +14.07%E +0.740%K +0.782%G +0.110%5.3%2026-03-19 15:58
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.45%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.55%0.7%2026-03-19 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%0.9%2026-03-19 15:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%1.0%2026-03-19 16:00
Matchbook1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96%1.1%2026-03-19 15:57
ProphetX1.01I 99.01%NM 97.34%37.00I 2.70%NM 2.66%1.7%2026-03-19 15:58
Novig1.12I 89.29%NM 86.19%6.99I 14.31%NM 13.81%3.6%2026-03-19 15:49
Smarkets1.00I 100.00%NM 95.65%21.98I 4.55%NM 4.35%4.5%2026-03-19 15:58