La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Paula Badosa v Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Paula Badosa (Local)
Predicción 94.00%1.06momio equitativo
EV +46.63%
Ventaja +29.89%
Kelly +83.28%
Crecimiento +38.84%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.14%93.90%93.66%98.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.001.051.021.56100.00%95.47%98.04%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Visitante)
Predicción 6.00%16.66momio equitativo
EV +356.28%
Ventaja +4.69%
Kelly +4.75%
Crecimiento +16.92%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 76.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
1.30%6.10%6.34%37.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.5617.6413.0076.0039.06%5.67%7.69%1.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV +46.63%E +29.89%K +83.28%G +38.84% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -84.63%E -33.06%K -54.25%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-19 14:10 |
| Casumo | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV +4.34%E +3.91%K +39.42%G +1.71% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -59.48%E -8.81%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| betPARX | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV +4.34%E +3.91%K +39.42%G +1.71% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -59.48%E -8.81%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV +4.34%E +3.91%K +39.42%G +1.71% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -62.48%E -10.00%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| TAB | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV +4.34%E +3.91%K +39.42%G +1.71% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -63.98%E -10.66%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV +3.40%E +3.09%K +33.96%G +1.15% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -62.48%E -10.00%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV +3.40%E +3.09%K +33.96%G +1.15% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -62.48%E -10.00%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.81%EV +0.576%E +0.538%K +8.23%G +0.047% | 13.82I 7.24%NM 7.19%EV -17.03%E -1.23%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 0.7% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV +0.576%E +0.538%K +8.23%G +0.047% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -48.97%E -5.76%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV +0.576%E +0.538%K +8.23%G +0.047% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -48.97%E -5.76%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV +0.576%E +0.538%K +8.23%G +0.047% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -48.97%E -5.76%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV +0.576%E +0.538%K +8.23%G +0.047% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -51.97%E -6.50%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -2.24%E -2.16%K -56.09%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -36.96%E -3.52%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 15:53 |
| Unibet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -2.24%E -2.16%K -56.09%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -36.96%E -3.52%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 15:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -2.24%E -2.16%K -56.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -42.97%E -4.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 15:56 |
| Fliff | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.62%EV -2.24%E -2.16%K -56.09%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.38%EV -51.37%E -6.34%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.86%EV -3.18%E -3.09%K -106.12%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.14%EV +14.07%E +0.740%K +0.782%G +0.110% | 2.4% | 2026-03-19 15:57 |
| BoyleSports | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.18%E -3.09%K -106.12%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -9.95%E -0.663%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-19 15:57 |
| Bovada | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.18%E -3.09%K -106.12%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -21.95%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 16:01 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -3.18%E -3.09%K -106.12%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -42.97%E -4.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 15:53 |
| Coral | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.12%E -4.04%K -206.18%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +2.06%E +0.121%K +0.129%G +0.003% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 15:58 |
| Coolbet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.12%E -4.04%K -206.18%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -9.95%E -0.663%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 15:57 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.12%E -4.04%K -206.18%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -9.95%E -0.663%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 15:52 |
| NordicBet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.12%E -4.04%K -206.18%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -24.95%E -2.00%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 15:57 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.12%E -4.04%K -206.18%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -27.96%E -2.33%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 15:53 |
| Caesars | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.12%E -4.04%K -206.18%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -27.96%E -2.33%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 15:58 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.37%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +20.07%E +1.00%K +1.06%G +0.212% | 4.0% | 2026-03-19 15:57 |
| Betway | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.37%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +8.07%E +0.448%K +0.474%G +0.038% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 15:55 |
| 888sport | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.37%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -9.95%E -0.663%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 15:57 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.37%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -9.95%E -0.663%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 15:56 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.37%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -9.95%E -0.663%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 15:56 |
| Betsson | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.37%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -12.95%E -0.893%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 15:58 |
| BetMGM | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.37%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -18.95%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 15:57 |
| LeoVegas | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.37%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -30.96%E -2.69%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 15:53 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.37%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -36.96%E -3.52%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 15:51 |
| FanDuel | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.70%EV -6.00%E -6.00%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 76.00I 1.32%NM 1.30%EV +356.28%E +4.69%K +4.75%G +16.92% | 1.3% | 2026-03-19 15:57 |
| Paddy Power | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -6.00%E -6.00%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +302.24%E +4.51%K +4.58%G +13.84% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 15:58 |
| SportsBet | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%EV -6.00%E -6.00%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%EV +206.18%E +4.04%K +4.12%G +8.50% | 2.0% | 2026-03-19 15:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.83%EV -6.00%E -6.00%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 45.00I 2.22%NM 2.17%EV +170.16%E +3.78%K +3.87%G +6.58% | 2.2% | 2026-03-19 15:58 |
| theScore Bet | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -6.00%E -6.00%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +146.15%E +3.56%K +3.65%G +5.34% | 2.4% | 2026-03-19 15:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -6.00%E -6.00%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +104.12%E +3.06%K +3.16%G +3.29% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 15:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -6.00%E -6.00%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +56.09%E +2.16%K +2.24%G +1.26% | 3.8% | 2026-03-19 15:58 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -6.00%E -6.00%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +14.07%E +0.740%K +0.782%G +0.110% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 15:58 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.45% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.55% | 0.7% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-03-19 15:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 1.0% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96% | 1.1% | 2026-03-19 15:57 |
| ProphetX | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.34% | 37.00I 2.70%NM 2.66% | 1.7% | 2026-03-19 15:58 |
| Novig | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.19% | 6.99I 14.31%NM 13.81% | 3.6% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Smarkets | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.65% | 21.98I 4.55%NM 4.35% | 4.5% | 2026-03-19 15:58 |