L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Paula Badosa v Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Paula Badosa (Local)
Prévision 94.00%1.06cote équitable
EV +46.63%
Avantage +29.89%
Kelly +83.28%
Croissance +38.84%
avec la cote maximale 1.56
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.14%93.90%93.66%98.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.001.051.021.56100.00%95.47%98.04%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Visiteur)
Prévision 6.00%16.66cote équitable
EV +356.28%
Avantage +4.69%
Kelly +4.75%
Croissance +16.92%
avec la cote maximale 76.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
1.30%6.10%6.34%37.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.5617.6413.0076.0039.06%5.67%7.69%1.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV +46.63%E +29.89%K +83.28%G +38.84% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -84.63%E -33.06%K -54.25%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-19 14:10 |
| Casumo | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV +4.34%E +3.91%K +39.42%G +1.71% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -59.48%E -8.81%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| betPARX | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV +4.34%E +3.91%K +39.42%G +1.71% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -59.48%E -8.81%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV +4.34%E +3.91%K +39.42%G +1.71% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -62.48%E -10.00%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| TAB | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV +4.34%E +3.91%K +39.42%G +1.71% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -63.98%E -10.66%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV +3.40%E +3.09%K +33.96%G +1.15% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -62.48%E -10.00%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV +3.40%E +3.09%K +33.96%G +1.15% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -62.48%E -10.00%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.81%EV +0.576%E +0.538%K +8.23%G +0.047% | 13.82I 7.24%NM 7.19%EV -17.03%E -1.23%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 0.7% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV +0.576%E +0.538%K +8.23%G +0.047% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -48.97%E -5.76%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV +0.576%E +0.538%K +8.23%G +0.047% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -48.97%E -5.76%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV +0.576%E +0.538%K +8.23%G +0.047% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -48.97%E -5.76%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV +0.576%E +0.538%K +8.23%G +0.047% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -51.97%E -6.50%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -2.24%E -2.16%K -56.09%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -36.96%E -3.52%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 15:53 |
| Unibet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -2.24%E -2.16%K -56.09%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -36.96%E -3.52%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 15:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -2.24%E -2.16%K -56.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -42.97%E -4.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 15:56 |
| Fliff | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.62%EV -2.24%E -2.16%K -56.09%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.38%EV -51.37%E -6.34%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.86%EV -3.18%E -3.09%K -106.12%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.14%EV +14.07%E +0.740%K +0.782%G +0.110% | 2.4% | 2026-03-19 15:57 |
| BoyleSports | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.18%E -3.09%K -106.12%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -9.95%E -0.663%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-19 15:57 |
| Bovada | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.18%E -3.09%K -106.12%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -21.95%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 16:01 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -3.18%E -3.09%K -106.12%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -42.97%E -4.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 15:53 |
| Coral | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.12%E -4.04%K -206.18%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +2.06%E +0.121%K +0.129%G +0.003% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 15:58 |
| Coolbet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.12%E -4.04%K -206.18%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -9.95%E -0.663%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 15:57 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.12%E -4.04%K -206.18%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -9.95%E -0.663%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 15:52 |
| NordicBet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.12%E -4.04%K -206.18%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -24.95%E -2.00%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 15:57 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.12%E -4.04%K -206.18%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -27.96%E -2.33%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 15:53 |
| Caesars | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.12%E -4.04%K -206.18%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -27.96%E -2.33%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 15:58 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.37%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +20.07%E +1.00%K +1.06%G +0.212% | 4.0% | 2026-03-19 15:57 |
| Betway | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.37%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +8.07%E +0.448%K +0.474%G +0.038% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 15:55 |
| 888sport | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.37%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -9.95%E -0.663%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 15:57 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.37%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -9.95%E -0.663%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 15:56 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.37%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -9.95%E -0.663%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 15:56 |
| Betsson | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.37%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -12.95%E -0.893%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 15:58 |
| BetMGM | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.37%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -18.95%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 15:57 |
| LeoVegas | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.37%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -30.96%E -2.69%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 15:53 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.37%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -36.96%E -3.52%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 15:51 |
| FanDuel | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.70%EV -6.00%E -6.00%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 76.00I 1.32%NM 1.30%EV +356.28%E +4.69%K +4.75%G +16.92% | 1.3% | 2026-03-19 15:57 |
| Paddy Power | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -6.00%E -6.00%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +302.24%E +4.51%K +4.58%G +13.84% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 15:58 |
| SportsBet | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%EV -6.00%E -6.00%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%EV +206.18%E +4.04%K +4.12%G +8.50% | 2.0% | 2026-03-19 15:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.83%EV -6.00%E -6.00%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 45.00I 2.22%NM 2.17%EV +170.16%E +3.78%K +3.87%G +6.58% | 2.2% | 2026-03-19 15:58 |
| theScore Bet | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -6.00%E -6.00%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +146.15%E +3.56%K +3.65%G +5.34% | 2.4% | 2026-03-19 15:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -6.00%E -6.00%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +104.12%E +3.06%K +3.16%G +3.29% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 15:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -6.00%E -6.00%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +56.09%E +2.16%K +2.24%G +1.26% | 3.8% | 2026-03-19 15:58 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -6.00%E -6.00%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +14.07%E +0.740%K +0.782%G +0.110% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 15:58 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.45% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.55% | 0.7% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-03-19 15:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 1.0% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96% | 1.1% | 2026-03-19 15:57 |
| ProphetX | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.34% | 37.00I 2.70%NM 2.66% | 1.7% | 2026-03-19 15:58 |
| Novig | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.19% | 6.99I 14.31%NM 13.81% | 3.6% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Smarkets | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.65% | 21.98I 4.55%NM 4.35% | 4.5% | 2026-03-19 15:58 |