Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leylah Fernandez v Oksana Selekhmeteva

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 15:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leylah Fernandez (Local)

Prediction 63.20%1.58fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -3.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.22%63.57%62.93%66.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.481.481.5571.43%67.50%67.57%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oksana Selekhmeteva (Visit)

Prediction 36.80%2.72fair odd
EV +3.42%
Edge +1.22%
Kelly +1.89%
Growth +0.065%

assuming max odds 2.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.73%36.43%37.07%38.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.602.602.8141.67%38.41%38.46%35.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leylah Fernandez (Local): 63.20%; Oksana Selekhmeteva (Visit): 36.80%. For Oksana Selekhmeteva (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.72. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.81, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.42%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -9.63%E -6.73%K -22.40%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV +3.42%E +1.22%K +1.89%G +0.065%5.5%2026-03-21 15:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +1.21%E +0.441%K +0.692%G +0.008%3.9%2026-03-21 15:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +1.21%E +0.441%K +0.692%G +0.008%3.9%2026-03-21 15:09
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +1.21%E +0.441%K +0.692%G +0.008%3.9%2026-03-21 15:10
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +1.21%E +0.441%K +0.692%G +0.008%3.9%2026-03-21 15:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +1.21%E +0.441%K +0.692%G +0.008%3.9%2026-03-21 15:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -8.37%E -5.77%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +1.21%E +0.441%K +0.692%G +0.008%5.3%2026-03-21 15:09
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -11.53%E -8.23%K -28.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +1.21%E +0.441%K +0.692%G +0.008%7.8%2026-03-21 15:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -11.53%E -8.23%K -28.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +1.21%E +0.441%K +0.692%G +0.008%7.8%2026-03-21 15:09
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.10%E -4.83%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.629%E -0.233%K -0.370%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -7.73%E -5.30%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -0.629%E -0.233%K -0.370%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 15:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -7.73%E -5.30%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -0.629%E -0.233%K -0.370%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 15:09
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.37%E -5.77%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.629%E -0.233%K -0.370%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 15:09
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.37%E -5.77%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.629%E -0.233%K -0.370%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 15:10
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.37%E -5.77%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.629%E -0.233%K -0.370%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 15:10
theScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -9.00%E -6.25%K -20.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -0.629%E -0.233%K -0.370%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 15:09
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.72%EV -8.37%E -5.77%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.28%EV -2.10%E -0.790%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 15:02
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.57%E -3.03%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.47%E -0.932%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 14:59
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.47%E -0.932%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 15:09
LeoVegas🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -9.63%E -6.73%K -22.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -2.47%E -0.932%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 15:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -9.63%E -6.73%K -22.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -2.47%E -0.932%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 15:09
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -10.26%E -7.23%K -24.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -2.47%E -0.932%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 15:09
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 15:09
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 15:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.00%E -6.25%K -20.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:09
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.00%E -6.25%K -20.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.00%E -6.25%K -20.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.68%E -1.74%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.94%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 15:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.68%E -1.74%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.94%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 15:10
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.05%E -1.32%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 15:10
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.57%E -3.03%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 14:59
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:10
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:09
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:03
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 15:07
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 15:07
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.73%E -5.30%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:10
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.57%E -3.03%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.05%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 15:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.39%EV -5.84%E -3.92%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.61%EV -5.05%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 15:09
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 15:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 15:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 15:10
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.94%E -2.59%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 15:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.57%E -3.03%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 14:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 15:05
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.63%E -6.73%K -22.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 15:09
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.94%E -2.59%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.99%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 15:09
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.57%E -3.03%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.99%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 14:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.99%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 15:09
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.99%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 15:10
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.99%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 15:10
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.99%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 15:10
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.99%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 15:08
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.99%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:06
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.99%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:06
NetBet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.10%E -4.83%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.99%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -5.84%E -3.92%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.83%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 15:10
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.94%E -2.59%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -11.67%E -4.86%K -8.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 15:09
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.67%E -4.86%K -8.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:58
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.67%E -4.86%K -8.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:58
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -7.10%E -4.83%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -11.67%E -4.86%K -8.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 15:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-03-21 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-03-21 15:10
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-03-21 15:10
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%2.8%2026-03-21 15:09
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%3.0%2026-03-21 15:09
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%8.0%2026-03-21 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 63.75%2.04I 49.02%NM 36.25%35.2%2026-03-21 15:10