La escuela de los momios

Leylah Fernandez v Oksana Selekhmeteva

Inicio: 2026-03-21 15:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Leylah Fernandez (Local)

Predicción 63.20%1.58momio equitativo
EV -2.05%
Ventaja -1.32%
Kelly -3.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.22%63.57%62.93%66.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.481.481.5571.43%67.50%67.57%64.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Oksana Selekhmeteva (Visitante)

Predicción 36.80%2.72momio equitativo
EV +3.42%
Ventaja +1.22%
Kelly +1.89%
Crecimiento +0.065%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.73%36.43%37.07%38.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.602.602.8141.67%38.41%38.46%35.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -9.63%E -6.73%K -22.40%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV +3.42%E +1.22%K +1.89%G +0.065%5.5%2026-03-21 15:09
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +1.21%E +0.441%K +0.692%G +0.008%3.9%2026-03-21 15:09
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +1.21%E +0.441%K +0.692%G +0.008%3.9%2026-03-21 15:09
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +1.21%E +0.441%K +0.692%G +0.008%3.9%2026-03-21 15:10
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +1.21%E +0.441%K +0.692%G +0.008%3.9%2026-03-21 15:09
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +1.21%E +0.441%K +0.692%G +0.008%3.9%2026-03-21 15:09
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -8.37%E -5.77%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +1.21%E +0.441%K +0.692%G +0.008%5.3%2026-03-21 15:09
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -11.53%E -8.23%K -28.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +1.21%E +0.441%K +0.692%G +0.008%7.8%2026-03-21 15:09
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -11.53%E -8.23%K -28.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +1.21%E +0.441%K +0.692%G +0.008%7.8%2026-03-21 15:09
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.10%E -4.83%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.629%E -0.233%K -0.370%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:09
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -7.73%E -5.30%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -0.629%E -0.233%K -0.370%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 15:09
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -7.73%E -5.30%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -0.629%E -0.233%K -0.370%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 15:09
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.37%E -5.77%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.629%E -0.233%K -0.370%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 15:09
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.37%E -5.77%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.629%E -0.233%K -0.370%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 15:10
Bally Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.37%E -5.77%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.629%E -0.233%K -0.370%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 15:10
theScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -9.00%E -6.25%K -20.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -0.629%E -0.233%K -0.370%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 15:09
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 64.72%EV -8.37%E -5.77%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.28%EV -2.10%E -0.790%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 15:02
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.57%E -3.03%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.47%E -0.932%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 14:59
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.47%E -0.932%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 15:09
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -9.63%E -6.73%K -22.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -2.47%E -0.932%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 15:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -9.63%E -6.73%K -22.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -2.47%E -0.932%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 15:09
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -10.26%E -7.23%K -24.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -2.47%E -0.932%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 15:09
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 15:09
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 15:09
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.00%E -6.25%K -20.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:09
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.00%E -6.25%K -20.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:10
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.00%E -6.25%K -20.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:10
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.68%E -1.74%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.94%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 15:09
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.68%E -1.74%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.94%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 15:10
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.05%E -1.32%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 15:10
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.57%E -3.03%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 14:59
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:10
FanDuel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:09
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:03
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 15:07
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 15:07
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.73%E -5.30%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:10
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.57%E -3.03%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.05%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 15:05
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.39%EV -5.84%E -3.92%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.61%EV -5.05%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 15:09
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 15:10
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 15:10
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 15:10
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.94%E -2.59%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 15:10
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.57%E -3.03%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 14:59
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 15:05
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.63%E -6.73%K -22.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 15:09
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.94%E -2.59%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.99%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 15:09
Parions Sport (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.57%E -3.03%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.99%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 14:59
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.99%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 15:09
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.99%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 15:10
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.99%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 15:10
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.99%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 15:10
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.99%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 15:08
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.99%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:06
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.99%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:06
NetBet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.10%E -4.83%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.99%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:59
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -5.84%E -3.92%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.83%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 15:10
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.94%E -2.59%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -11.67%E -4.86%K -8.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 15:09
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.67%E -4.86%K -8.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:58
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.67%E -4.86%K -8.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:58
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -7.10%E -4.83%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -11.67%E -4.86%K -8.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 15:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-03-21 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-03-21 15:10
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-03-21 15:10
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%2.8%2026-03-21 15:09
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%3.0%2026-03-21 15:09
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%8.0%2026-03-21 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 63.75%2.04I 49.02%NM 36.25%35.2%2026-03-21 15:10