L’École des cotes

Leylah Fernandez v Oksana Selekhmeteva

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 15:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Leylah Fernandez (Local)

Prévision 63.20%1.58cote équitable
EV -2.05%
Avantage -1.32%
Kelly -3.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.22%63.57%62.93%66.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.481.481.5571.43%67.50%67.57%64.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Oksana Selekhmeteva (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.80%2.72cote équitable
EV +3.42%
Avantage +1.22%
Kelly +1.89%
Croissance +0.065%

avec la cote maximale 2.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.73%36.43%37.07%38.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.602.602.8141.67%38.41%38.46%35.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -9.63%E -6.73%K -22.40%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV +3.42%E +1.22%K +1.89%G +0.065%5.5%2026-03-21 15:09
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +1.21%E +0.441%K +0.692%G +0.008%3.9%2026-03-21 15:09
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +1.21%E +0.441%K +0.692%G +0.008%3.9%2026-03-21 15:09
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +1.21%E +0.441%K +0.692%G +0.008%3.9%2026-03-21 15:10
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +1.21%E +0.441%K +0.692%G +0.008%3.9%2026-03-21 15:09
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +1.21%E +0.441%K +0.692%G +0.008%3.9%2026-03-21 15:09
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -8.37%E -5.77%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +1.21%E +0.441%K +0.692%G +0.008%5.3%2026-03-21 15:09
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -11.53%E -8.23%K -28.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +1.21%E +0.441%K +0.692%G +0.008%7.8%2026-03-21 15:09
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -11.53%E -8.23%K -28.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +1.21%E +0.441%K +0.692%G +0.008%7.8%2026-03-21 15:09
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.10%E -4.83%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.629%E -0.233%K -0.370%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:09
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -7.73%E -5.30%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -0.629%E -0.233%K -0.370%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 15:09
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -7.73%E -5.30%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -0.629%E -0.233%K -0.370%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 15:09
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.37%E -5.77%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.629%E -0.233%K -0.370%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 15:09
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.37%E -5.77%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.629%E -0.233%K -0.370%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 15:10
Bally Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.37%E -5.77%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.629%E -0.233%K -0.370%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 15:10
theScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -9.00%E -6.25%K -20.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -0.629%E -0.233%K -0.370%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 15:09
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 64.72%EV -8.37%E -5.77%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.28%EV -2.10%E -0.790%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 15:02
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.57%E -3.03%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.47%E -0.932%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 14:59
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.47%E -0.932%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 15:09
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -9.63%E -6.73%K -22.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -2.47%E -0.932%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 15:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -9.63%E -6.73%K -22.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -2.47%E -0.932%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 15:09
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -10.26%E -7.23%K -24.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -2.47%E -0.932%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 15:09
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 15:09
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 15:09
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.00%E -6.25%K -20.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:09
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.00%E -6.25%K -20.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:10
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.00%E -6.25%K -20.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:10
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.68%E -1.74%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.94%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 15:09
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.68%E -1.74%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.94%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 15:10
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.05%E -1.32%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 15:10
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.57%E -3.03%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 14:59
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:10
FanDuel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:09
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:03
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 15:07
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 15:07
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.73%E -5.30%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:10
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.57%E -3.03%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.05%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 15:05
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.39%EV -5.84%E -3.92%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.61%EV -5.05%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 15:09
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 15:10
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 15:10
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 15:10
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.94%E -2.59%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 15:10
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.57%E -3.03%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 14:59
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 15:05
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.63%E -6.73%K -22.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 15:09
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.94%E -2.59%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.99%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 15:09
Parions Sport (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.57%E -3.03%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.99%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 14:59
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.99%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 15:09
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.99%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 15:10
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.99%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 15:10
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.99%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 15:10
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.99%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 15:08
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.99%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:06
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.99%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:06
NetBet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.10%E -4.83%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.99%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:59
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -5.84%E -3.92%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.83%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 15:10
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.94%E -2.59%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -11.67%E -4.86%K -8.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 15:09
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.67%E -4.86%K -8.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:58
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.21%E -3.47%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.67%E -4.86%K -8.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:58
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -7.10%E -4.83%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -11.67%E -4.86%K -8.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 15:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-03-21 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-03-21 15:10
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-03-21 15:10
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%2.8%2026-03-21 15:09
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%3.0%2026-03-21 15:09
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%8.0%2026-03-21 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 63.75%2.04I 49.02%NM 36.25%35.2%2026-03-21 15:10