Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Karolina Muchova v Alexandra Eala

Kickoff: 2026-03-23 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Prediction 76.53%1.31fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.988%
Kelly -4.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.23%76.44%76.48%78.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.241.241.2983.33%80.66%80.65%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alexandra Eala (Visit)

Prediction 23.47%4.26fair odd
EV +7.72%
Edge +1.68%
Kelly +2.15%
Growth +0.166%

assuming max odds 4.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.27%23.56%23.52%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.024.004.5927.78%24.85%25.00%21.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karolina Muchova (Local): 76.53%; Alexandra Eala (Visit): 23.47%. For Alexandra Eala (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.26. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.59, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.72%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.73%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.27%EV +7.72%E +1.68%K +2.15%G +0.166%2.4%2026-03-23 14:30
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +2.09%E +0.480%K +0.623%G +0.013%3.0%2026-03-23 13:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.914%E +0.212%K +0.277%G +0.003%3.9%2026-03-23 10:58
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.260%E -0.061%K -0.080%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 19:34
Bet Right🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -0.260%E -0.061%K -0.080%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 10:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV -0.494%E -0.117%K -0.153%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 07:18
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV -0.494%E -0.117%K -0.153%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 07:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.87%E -4.77%K -25.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.43%E -0.341%K -0.448%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 11:00
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.43%E -0.341%K -0.448%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 06:04
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.43%E -0.341%K -0.448%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 07:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.43%E -0.341%K -0.448%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 07:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.43%E -0.341%K -0.448%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 07:19
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.78%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.78%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 06:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.87%E -4.77%K -25.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.78%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-23 10:59
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.78%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-23 14:30
theScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.78%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 12:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.78%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 12:26
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.87%E -4.77%K -25.50%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -4.95%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 14:00
GTbets🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.43%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.57%EV -5.66%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 06:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:30
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:30
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 07:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 11:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
LeoVegas🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 11:00
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 11:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:58
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 12:30
PlayUp🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 20:05
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 14:29
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 14:30
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 19:34
Everygame🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 19:35
ReBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.30%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 12:29
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 75.33%EV -1.27%E -0.988%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.67%EV -7.53%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-23 10:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -8.00%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 14:29
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.12%EV -5.87%E -4.77%K -25.50%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.88%EV -8.00%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 12:30
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.80%E -2.21%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -8.47%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 12:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.47%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 14:29
Fliff🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -5.87%E -4.77%K -25.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -8.47%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 12:30
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.29%EV -2.80%E -2.21%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.71%EV -9.18%E -2.37%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 11:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -5.87%E -4.77%K -25.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -9.65%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-23 11:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -5.87%E -4.77%K -25.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -9.65%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-23 10:59
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 13:59
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.27%E -0.988%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -11.99%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 11:00
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.99%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-23 12:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -13.17%E -3.56%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 12:29
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -15.51%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-23 12:28
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-03-23 14:30
ProphetX1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-03-23 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-03-23 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-03-23 14:29
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-03-23 14:30
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 77.32%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.68%1.8%2026-03-23 14:00
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%2.7%2026-03-23 13:59