L’École des cotes

Karolina Muchova v Alexandra Eala

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-23 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Prévision 76.53%1.31cote équitable
EV -1.27%
Avantage -0.988%
Kelly -4.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.23%76.44%76.48%78.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.241.241.2983.33%80.66%80.65%77.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alexandra Eala (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.47%4.26cote équitable
EV +7.72%
Avantage +1.68%
Kelly +2.15%
Croissance +0.166%

avec la cote maximale 4.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.27%23.56%23.52%25.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.024.004.5927.78%24.85%25.00%21.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 78.73%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.27%EV +7.72%E +1.68%K +2.15%G +0.166%2.4%2026-03-23 14:30
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +2.09%E +0.480%K +0.623%G +0.013%3.0%2026-03-23 13:59
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.914%E +0.212%K +0.277%G +0.003%3.9%2026-03-23 10:58
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.260%E -0.061%K -0.080%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 19:34
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -0.260%E -0.061%K -0.080%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 10:59
LowVig.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV -0.494%E -0.117%K -0.153%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 07:18
BetOnline.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV -0.494%E -0.117%K -0.153%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 07:19
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.87%E -4.77%K -25.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.43%E -0.341%K -0.448%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 11:00
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.43%E -0.341%K -0.448%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 06:04
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.43%E -0.341%K -0.448%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 07:19
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.43%E -0.341%K -0.448%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 07:19
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.43%E -0.341%K -0.448%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 07:19
Parions Sport (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.78%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.78%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 06:04
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.87%E -4.77%K -25.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.78%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-23 10:59
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.78%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-23 14:30
theScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.78%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 12:00
NetBet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.78%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 12:26
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.87%E -4.77%K -25.50%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -4.95%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 14:00
GTbets1.24I 80.65%NM 76.43%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.57%EV -5.66%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 06:24
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:30
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:30
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 07:14
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 11:00
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 11:00
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 11:00
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:58
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 12:30
PlayUp1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 20:05
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 14:29
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 14:30
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 19:34
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 19:35
ReBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.30%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 12:29
1xBet1.29I 77.52%NM 75.33%EV -1.27%E -0.988%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.67%EV -7.53%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-23 10:59
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -8.00%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 14:29
SportsBet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.12%EV -5.87%E -4.77%K -25.50%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.88%EV -8.00%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 12:30
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.80%E -2.21%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -8.47%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 12:30
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.47%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 14:29
Fliff1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -5.87%E -4.77%K -25.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -8.47%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 12:30
DraftKings1.27I 78.74%NM 75.29%EV -2.80%E -2.21%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.71%EV -9.18%E -2.37%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -5.87%E -4.77%K -25.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -9.65%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-23 11:00
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -5.87%E -4.77%K -25.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -9.65%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-23 10:59
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 13:59
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.27%E -0.988%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -11.99%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 11:00
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.99%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-23 12:30
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -13.17%E -3.56%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 12:29
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -15.51%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-23 12:28
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-03-23 14:30
ProphetX1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-03-23 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-03-23 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-03-23 14:29
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-03-23 14:30
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 77.32%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.68%1.8%2026-03-23 14:00
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%2.7%2026-03-23 13:59