La escuela de los momios

Karolina Muchova v Alexandra Eala

Inicio: 2026-03-23 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Predicción 76.53%1.31momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -0.988%
Kelly -4.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.23%76.44%76.48%78.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.241.241.2983.33%80.66%80.65%77.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Alexandra Eala (Visitante)

Predicción 23.47%4.26momio equitativo
EV +7.72%
Ventaja +1.68%
Kelly +2.15%
Crecimiento +0.166%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.27%23.56%23.52%25.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.024.004.5927.78%24.85%25.00%21.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 78.73%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.27%EV +7.72%E +1.68%K +2.15%G +0.166%2.4%2026-03-23 14:30
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +2.09%E +0.480%K +0.623%G +0.013%3.0%2026-03-23 13:59
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.914%E +0.212%K +0.277%G +0.003%3.9%2026-03-23 10:58
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.260%E -0.061%K -0.080%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 19:34
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -0.260%E -0.061%K -0.080%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 10:59
LowVig.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV -0.494%E -0.117%K -0.153%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 07:18
BetOnline.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV -0.494%E -0.117%K -0.153%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 07:19
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.87%E -4.77%K -25.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.43%E -0.341%K -0.448%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 11:00
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.43%E -0.341%K -0.448%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 06:04
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.43%E -0.341%K -0.448%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 07:19
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.43%E -0.341%K -0.448%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 07:19
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.43%E -0.341%K -0.448%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 07:19
Parions Sport (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.78%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.78%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 06:04
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.87%E -4.77%K -25.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.78%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-23 10:59
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.78%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-23 14:30
theScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.78%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 12:00
NetBet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -7.40%E -6.11%K -35.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.78%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 12:26
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.87%E -4.77%K -25.50%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -4.95%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 14:00
GTbets1.24I 80.65%NM 76.43%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.57%EV -5.66%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 06:24
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:30
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:30
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 07:14
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 11:00
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 11:00
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 11:00
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:58
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 12:30
PlayUp1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 20:05
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 14:29
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 14:30
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 19:34
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.16%E -6.80%K -40.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 19:35
ReBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.30%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 12:29
1xBet1.29I 77.52%NM 75.33%EV -1.27%E -0.988%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.67%EV -7.53%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-23 10:59
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -8.00%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 14:29
SportsBet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.12%EV -5.87%E -4.77%K -25.50%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.88%EV -8.00%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 12:30
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.80%E -2.21%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -8.47%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 12:30
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.47%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 14:29
Fliff1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -5.87%E -4.77%K -25.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -8.47%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 12:30
DraftKings1.27I 78.74%NM 75.29%EV -2.80%E -2.21%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.71%EV -9.18%E -2.37%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -5.87%E -4.77%K -25.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -9.65%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-23 11:00
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -5.87%E -4.77%K -25.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -9.65%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-23 10:59
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 13:59
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.27%E -0.988%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -11.99%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 11:00
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.99%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-23 12:30
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -13.17%E -3.56%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 12:29
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -15.51%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-23 12:28
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-03-23 14:30
ProphetX1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-03-23 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-03-23 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-03-23 14:29
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-03-23 14:30
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 77.32%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.68%1.8%2026-03-23 14:00
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%2.7%2026-03-23 13:59