Language:English
Jaqueline Cristian v Jessica Pegula
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jaqueline Cristian (Local)
Prediction 11.19%8.93fair odd
EV +41.04%
Edge +3.26%
Kelly +3.54%
Growth +1.45%
assuming max odds 12.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.69%11.08%11.33%13.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.197.8812.6014.29%12.22%12.70%7.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jessica Pegula (Visit)
Prediction 88.81%1.13fair odd
EV -0.537%
Edge -0.479%
Kelly -4.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.31%88.92%88.67%92.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.071.071.1297.09%93.53%93.46%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jaqueline Cristian (Local): 11.19%; Jessica Pegula (Visit): 88.81%. For Jaqueline Cristian (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.93. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +41.04%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 12.60I 7.94%NM 7.69%EV +41.04%E +3.26%K +3.54%G +1.45% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.31%EV -6.75%E -6.43%K -135.06%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +23.13%E +2.10%K +2.31%G +0.535% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -8.53%E -8.28%K -284.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +23.13%E +2.10%K +2.31%G +0.535% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -8.53%E -8.28%K -284.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +17.53%E +1.67%K +1.85%G +0.324% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -7.64%E -7.35%K -191.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +11.94%E +1.19%K +1.33%G +0.158% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -6.75%E -6.43%K -135.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 21:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +11.94%E +1.19%K +1.33%G +0.158% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -7.64%E -7.35%K -191.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +11.94%E +1.19%K +1.33%G +0.158% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -7.64%E -7.35%K -191.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +11.94%E +1.19%K +1.33%G +0.158% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -8.53%E -8.28%K -284.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +6.34%E +0.667%K +0.746%G +0.047% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +6.34%E +0.667%K +0.746%G +0.047% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +0.742%E +0.082%K +0.093%G +0.001% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-23 21:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +0.742%E +0.082%K +0.093%G +0.001% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.75%E -6.43%K -135.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +0.742%E +0.082%K +0.093%G +0.001% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.75%E -6.43%K -135.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 8.94I 11.19%NM 10.96%EV +0.070%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.04%EV -2.31%E -2.10%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -2.62%E -0.301%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.86%E -0.571%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 21:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.86%E -0.571%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.86%E -0.571%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.86%E -0.571%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.86%E -0.571%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-23 21:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -4.86%E -0.571%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.75%E -6.43%K -135.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-23 21:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.38%EV -9.33%E -1.15%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.62%EV -7.64%E -7.35%K -191.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -9.44%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -3.20%E -2.94%K -35.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-23 21:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -9.44%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -3.20%E -2.94%K -35.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-23 21:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.45%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 21:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -10.45%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -10.45%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -10.45%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-23 21:08 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -10.45%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -10.45%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -13.25%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-23 21:19 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -13.81%E -1.79%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-23 21:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -14.93%E -1.96%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -3.20%E -2.94%K -35.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 21:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.20%E -2.94%K -35.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 21:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 21:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 21:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 21:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 21:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 21:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 21:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 21:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-23 21:18 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -6.75%E -6.43%K -135.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -6.75%E -6.43%K -135.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.10%EV -18.29%E -2.51%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.90%EV -2.31%E -2.10%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -19.41%E -2.70%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -3.20%E -2.94%K -35.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-23 21:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 7.06I 14.16%NM 13.69%EV -20.97%E -2.97%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.31%EV -0.537%E -0.479%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-23 21:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -21.31%E -3.03%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -2.31%E -2.10%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 21:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -21.65%E -3.09%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -1.42%E -1.28%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-23 20:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -21.65%E -3.09%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.20%E -2.94%K -35.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 21:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -21.65%E -3.09%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.20%E -2.94%K -35.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 20:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -21.65%E -3.09%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 21:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -21.65%E -3.09%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 21:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -21.65%E -3.09%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-23 21:17 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -21.65%E -3.09%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-23 21:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -21.65%E -3.09%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-23 21:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -21.65%E -3.09%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-23 21:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -21.65%E -3.09%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-23 21:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.89% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.11% | 1.5% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.43% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.57% | 1.7% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.68% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.32% | 1.8% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.54% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.46% | 2.0% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |
| Novig◎ | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.48% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.52% | 4.6% | 2026-03-23 21:20 |