La escuela de los momios

Jaqueline Cristian v Jessica Pegula

Inicio: 2026-03-23 22:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jaqueline Cristian (Local)

Predicción 11.19%8.93momio equitativo
EV +41.04%
Ventaja +3.26%
Kelly +3.54%
Crecimiento +1.45%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.69%11.08%11.33%13.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.008.197.8812.6014.29%12.22%12.70%7.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jessica Pegula (Visitante)

Predicción 88.81%1.13momio equitativo
EV -0.537%
Ventaja -0.479%
Kelly -4.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
86.31%88.92%88.67%92.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.031.071.071.1297.09%93.53%93.46%89.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
DraftKings12.60I 7.94%NM 7.69%EV +41.04%E +3.26%K +3.54%G +1.45%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.31%EV -6.75%E -6.43%K -135.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-23 21:20
888sport (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +23.13%E +2.10%K +2.31%G +0.535%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -8.53%E -8.28%K -284.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 21:20
Mr Green (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +23.13%E +2.10%K +2.31%G +0.535%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -8.53%E -8.28%K -284.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 21:20
Betsson10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +17.53%E +1.67%K +1.85%G +0.324%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -7.64%E -7.35%K -191.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-23 21:20
Betway10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +11.94%E +1.19%K +1.33%G +0.158%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -6.75%E -6.43%K -135.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 21:19
Winamax (DE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +11.94%E +1.19%K +1.33%G +0.158%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -7.64%E -7.35%K -191.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 21:20
888sport10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +11.94%E +1.19%K +1.33%G +0.158%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -7.64%E -7.35%K -191.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 21:20
TAB10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +11.94%E +1.19%K +1.33%G +0.158%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -8.53%E -8.28%K -284.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-23 21:20
FanDuel9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +6.34%E +0.667%K +0.746%G +0.047%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 21:20
Winamax (FR)9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +6.34%E +0.667%K +0.746%G +0.047%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 21:20
theScore Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +0.742%E +0.082%K +0.093%G +0.001%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 21:19
NordicBet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +0.742%E +0.082%K +0.093%G +0.001%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.75%E -6.43%K -135.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 21:20
PointsBet (AU)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +0.742%E +0.082%K +0.093%G +0.001%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.75%E -6.43%K -135.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 21:20
Pinnacle8.94I 11.19%NM 10.96%EV +0.070%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 89.04%EV -2.31%E -2.10%K -23.13%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-23 21:20
Coolbet8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -2.62%E -0.301%K -0.340%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 21:20
Coral8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.86%E -0.571%K -0.647%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 21:19
Unibet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.86%E -0.571%K -0.647%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 21:20
ATG (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.86%E -0.571%K -0.647%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 21:20
Svenska Spel8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.86%E -0.571%K -0.647%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 21:20
BetUS8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.86%E -0.571%K -0.647%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-23 21:00
Paddy Power8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -4.86%E -0.571%K -0.647%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.75%E -6.43%K -135.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 21:19
Fliff8.10I 12.35%NM 11.38%EV -9.33%E -1.15%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.62%EV -7.64%E -7.35%K -191.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-23 21:20
LowVig.ag8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -9.44%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -3.20%E -2.94%K -35.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 21:00
BetOnline.ag8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -9.44%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -3.20%E -2.94%K -35.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 21:00
Bovada8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.45%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 21:19
Virgin Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -10.45%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 21:20
Caesars8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -10.45%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 21:20
NetBet (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -10.45%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 21:08
Bally Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -10.45%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 21:20
Bet Victor8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -10.45%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 21:20
BetMGM7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -13.25%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-23 21:19
Parions Sport (FR)7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -13.81%E -1.79%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 21:09
ReBet7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -14.93%E -1.96%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -3.20%E -2.94%K -35.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 21:09
Bet Right7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.20%E -2.94%K -35.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 21:00
Unibet (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 21:09
Betr (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 21:05
BoyleSports7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 21:19
William Hill7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 21:00
Unibet (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 21:19
Unibet (NL)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 21:19
Casumo7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 21:20
betPARX7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 21:19
PMU (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 21:18
Fanatics7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-23 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -6.75%E -6.43%K -135.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-23 21:20
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -6.75%E -6.43%K -135.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-23 21:20
Unibet (FR)7.30I 13.70%NM 13.10%EV -18.29%E -2.51%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.90%EV -2.31%E -2.10%K -23.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 21:20
Marathon Bet7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -19.41%E -2.70%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -3.20%E -2.94%K -35.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 21:04
GTbets7.06I 14.16%NM 13.69%EV -20.97%E -2.97%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.31%EV -0.537%E -0.479%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-23 21:00
1xBet7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -21.31%E -3.03%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -2.31%E -2.10%K -23.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 21:05
Hard Rock Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -21.65%E -3.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -1.42%E -1.28%K -12.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 20:49
PlayUp7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -21.65%E -3.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.20%E -2.94%K -35.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 21:04
Ladbrokes (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -21.65%E -3.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.20%E -2.94%K -35.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 20:59
TABtouch7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -21.65%E -3.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 21:19
BetRivers7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -21.65%E -3.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 21:19
SportsBet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -21.65%E -3.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-23 21:17
Ladbrokes (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -21.65%E -3.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-23 21:00
Neds7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -21.65%E -3.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-23 21:00
LiveScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -21.65%E -3.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-23 21:19
Grosvenor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -21.65%E -3.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-23 21:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%0.9%2026-03-23 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.89%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.11%1.5%2026-03-23 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.43%1.11I 90.09%NM 88.57%1.7%2026-03-23 21:20
Smarkets9.20I 10.87%NM 10.68%1.10I 90.91%NM 89.32%1.8%2026-03-23 21:20
Matchbook13.00I 7.69%NM 7.54%1.06I 94.34%NM 92.46%2.0%2026-03-23 21:20
Novig8.33I 12.00%NM 11.48%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.52%4.6%2026-03-23 21:20