L’École des cotes

Jaqueline Cristian v Jessica Pegula

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-23 22:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jaqueline Cristian (Local)

Prévision 11.19%8.93cote équitable
EV +41.04%
Avantage +3.26%
Kelly +3.54%
Croissance +1.45%

avec la cote maximale 12.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.69%11.08%11.33%13.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.008.197.8812.6014.29%12.22%12.70%7.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jessica Pegula (Visiteur)

Prévision 88.81%1.13cote équitable
EV -0.537%
Avantage -0.479%
Kelly -4.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
86.31%88.92%88.67%92.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.031.071.071.1297.09%93.53%93.46%89.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings12.60I 7.94%NM 7.69%EV +41.04%E +3.26%K +3.54%G +1.45%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.31%EV -6.75%E -6.43%K -135.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-23 21:20
888sport (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +23.13%E +2.10%K +2.31%G +0.535%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -8.53%E -8.28%K -284.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 21:20
Mr Green (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +23.13%E +2.10%K +2.31%G +0.535%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -8.53%E -8.28%K -284.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 21:20
Betsson10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +17.53%E +1.67%K +1.85%G +0.324%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -7.64%E -7.35%K -191.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-23 21:20
Betway10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +11.94%E +1.19%K +1.33%G +0.158%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -6.75%E -6.43%K -135.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 21:19
Winamax (DE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +11.94%E +1.19%K +1.33%G +0.158%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -7.64%E -7.35%K -191.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 21:20
888sport10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +11.94%E +1.19%K +1.33%G +0.158%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -7.64%E -7.35%K -191.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 21:20
TAB10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +11.94%E +1.19%K +1.33%G +0.158%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -8.53%E -8.28%K -284.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-23 21:20
FanDuel9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +6.34%E +0.667%K +0.746%G +0.047%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 21:20
Winamax (FR)9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +6.34%E +0.667%K +0.746%G +0.047%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 21:20
theScore Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +0.742%E +0.082%K +0.093%G +0.001%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 21:19
NordicBet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +0.742%E +0.082%K +0.093%G +0.001%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.75%E -6.43%K -135.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 21:20
PointsBet (AU)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +0.742%E +0.082%K +0.093%G +0.001%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.75%E -6.43%K -135.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 21:20
Pinnacle8.94I 11.19%NM 10.96%EV +0.070%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 89.04%EV -2.31%E -2.10%K -23.13%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-23 21:20
Coolbet8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -2.62%E -0.301%K -0.340%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 21:20
Coral8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.86%E -0.571%K -0.647%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 21:19
Unibet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.86%E -0.571%K -0.647%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 21:20
ATG (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.86%E -0.571%K -0.647%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 21:20
Svenska Spel8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.86%E -0.571%K -0.647%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 21:20
BetUS8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.86%E -0.571%K -0.647%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-23 21:00
Paddy Power8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -4.86%E -0.571%K -0.647%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.75%E -6.43%K -135.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 21:19
Fliff8.10I 12.35%NM 11.38%EV -9.33%E -1.15%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.62%EV -7.64%E -7.35%K -191.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-23 21:20
LowVig.ag8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -9.44%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -3.20%E -2.94%K -35.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 21:00
BetOnline.ag8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -9.44%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -3.20%E -2.94%K -35.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 21:00
Bovada8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.45%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 21:19
Virgin Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -10.45%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 21:20
Caesars8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -10.45%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 21:20
NetBet (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -10.45%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 21:08
Bally Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -10.45%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 21:20
Bet Victor8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -10.45%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 21:20
BetMGM7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -13.25%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-23 21:19
Parions Sport (FR)7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -13.81%E -1.79%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 21:09
ReBet7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -14.93%E -1.96%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -3.20%E -2.94%K -35.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 21:09
Bet Right7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.20%E -2.94%K -35.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 21:00
Unibet (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 21:09
Betr (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 21:05
BoyleSports7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 21:19
William Hill7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 21:00
Unibet (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 21:19
Unibet (NL)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 21:19
Casumo7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 21:20
betPARX7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 21:19
PMU (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 21:18
Fanatics7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-23 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -6.75%E -6.43%K -135.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-23 21:20
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -16.05%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -6.75%E -6.43%K -135.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-23 21:20
Unibet (FR)7.30I 13.70%NM 13.10%EV -18.29%E -2.51%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.90%EV -2.31%E -2.10%K -23.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 21:20
Marathon Bet7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -19.41%E -2.70%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -3.20%E -2.94%K -35.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 21:04
GTbets7.06I 14.16%NM 13.69%EV -20.97%E -2.97%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.31%EV -0.537%E -0.479%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-23 21:00
1xBet7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -21.31%E -3.03%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -2.31%E -2.10%K -23.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 21:05
Hard Rock Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -21.65%E -3.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -1.42%E -1.28%K -12.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 20:49
PlayUp7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -21.65%E -3.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.20%E -2.94%K -35.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 21:04
Ladbrokes (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -21.65%E -3.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.20%E -2.94%K -35.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 20:59
TABtouch7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -21.65%E -3.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 21:19
BetRivers7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -21.65%E -3.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 21:19
SportsBet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -21.65%E -3.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-23 21:17
Ladbrokes (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -21.65%E -3.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-23 21:00
Neds7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -21.65%E -3.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-23 21:00
LiveScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -21.65%E -3.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-23 21:19
Grosvenor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -21.65%E -3.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-23 21:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%0.9%2026-03-23 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.89%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.11%1.5%2026-03-23 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.43%1.11I 90.09%NM 88.57%1.7%2026-03-23 21:20
Smarkets9.20I 10.87%NM 10.68%1.10I 90.91%NM 89.32%1.8%2026-03-23 21:20
Matchbook13.00I 7.69%NM 7.54%1.06I 94.34%NM 92.46%2.0%2026-03-23 21:20
Novig8.33I 12.00%NM 11.48%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.52%4.6%2026-03-23 21:20