Language:English
Hailey Baptiste v Jelena Ostapenko
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hailey Baptiste (Local)
Prediction 46.35%2.16fair odd
EV +8.00%
Edge +3.43%
Kelly +6.02%
Growth +0.481%
assuming max odds 2.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.56%46.43%45.42%51.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.971.922.3355.56%50.76%51.95%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jelena Ostapenko (Visit)
Prediction 53.65%1.86fair odd
EV +5.69%
Edge +2.89%
Kelly +5.86%
Growth +0.333%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.29%53.57%54.58%59.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.811.851.9762.89%55.18%54.20%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hailey Baptiste (Local): 46.35%; Jelena Ostapenko (Visit): 53.65%. For Hailey Baptiste (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.00%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.56%EV +8.00%E +3.43%K +6.02%G +0.481% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.44%EV -14.70%E -9.25%K -24.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 19:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +1.98%E +0.898%K +1.65%G +0.033% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -11.48%E -6.96%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-23 19:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +1.98%E +0.898%K +1.65%G +0.033% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -13.09%E -8.08%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-23 19:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +1.98%E +0.898%K +1.65%G +0.033% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -13.63%E -8.46%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-23 19:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -0.342%E -0.159%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -8.80%E -5.18%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 19:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -0.342%E -0.159%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -9.34%E -5.52%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-23 19:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.73%E -0.817%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.19%E -4.16%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 19:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.66%E -1.27%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.26%E -4.83%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-23 19:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.66%E -1.27%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.41%E -6.23%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-23 19:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.66%E -1.27%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.41%E -6.23%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-23 19:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -2.66%E -1.27%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -11.48%E -6.96%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-23 19:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.59%E -1.72%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.12%E -3.50%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 19:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.59%E -1.72%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.12%E -3.50%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 19:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.59%E -1.72%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.12%E -3.50%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 19:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.98%E -2.43%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.12%E -3.50%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 19:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.98%E -2.43%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-23 19:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.98%E -2.43%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-23 19:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.98%E -2.43%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.80%E -5.18%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-23 19:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -4.98%E -2.43%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -13.09%E -8.08%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-23 19:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -5.44%E -2.67%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -7.19%E -4.16%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-23 19:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -5.44%E -2.67%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -7.19%E -4.16%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-23 19:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -6.37%E -3.15%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -8.26%E -4.83%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-23 19:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -7.30%E -3.65%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -10.41%E -6.23%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-23 19:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -9.61%E -4.93%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +0.321%E +0.172%K +0.369%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 19:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.61%E -4.93%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.43%E -1.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-23 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.61%E -4.93%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.43%E -1.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-23 19:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -10.54%E -5.46%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV +5.69%E +2.89%K +5.86%G +0.333% | 2.6% | 2026-03-23 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -10.54%E -5.46%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +0.321%E +0.172%K +0.369%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 19:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -10.54%E -5.46%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +0.321%E +0.172%K +0.369%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 19:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -10.54%E -5.46%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +0.321%E +0.172%K +0.369%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -11.00%E -5.73%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV +1.39%E +0.737%K +1.57%G +0.022% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -11.00%E -5.73%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV +1.39%E +0.737%K +1.57%G +0.022% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -11.47%E -6.00%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +2.47%E +1.29%K +2.71%G +0.067% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 19:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -11.47%E -6.00%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +2.47%E +1.29%K +2.71%G +0.067% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 19:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -11.47%E -6.00%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +2.47%E +1.29%K +2.71%G +0.067% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -11.47%E -6.00%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +2.47%E +1.29%K +2.71%G +0.067% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -11.47%E -6.00%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV +1.93%E +1.02%K +2.14%G +0.041% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.47%E -6.00%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.83%E -0.997%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-23 19:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -11.93%E -6.28%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV +2.47%E +1.29%K +2.71%G +0.067% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 19:37 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -11.93%E -6.28%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +1.93%E +1.02%K +2.14%G +0.041% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 19:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -11.93%E -6.28%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +1.93%E +1.02%K +2.14%G +0.041% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 19:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -11.93%E -6.28%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -0.752%E -0.407%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-23 19:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -11.93%E -6.28%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -1.29%E -0.700%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-23 19:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -12.39%E -6.56%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -1.83%E -0.997%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-23 19:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -12.86%E -6.84%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV +3.00%E +1.56%K +3.26%G +0.098% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 19:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -12.86%E -6.84%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV +0.857%E +0.456%K +0.974%G +0.008% | 6.4% | 2026-03-23 19:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -12.86%E -6.84%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -1.29%E -0.700%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-23 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -13.32%E -7.12%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +4.61%E +2.37%K +4.86%G +0.224% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -13.32%E -7.12%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +4.61%E +2.37%K +4.86%G +0.224% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -13.32%E -7.12%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV +1.93%E +1.02%K +2.14%G +0.041% | 6.1% | 2026-03-23 19:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -13.32%E -7.12%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +0.321%E +0.172%K +0.369%G +0.001% | 7.0% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -13.32%E -7.12%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -2.90%E -1.60%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-23 19:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -13.78%E -7.41%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV +2.47%E +1.29%K +2.71%G +0.067% | 6.1% | 2026-03-23 19:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -14.25%E -7.70%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -0.752%E -0.407%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-23 19:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -14.71%E -8.00%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV +5.69%E +2.89%K +5.86%G +0.333% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 19:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -15.17%E -8.29%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV +1.93%E +1.02%K +2.14%G +0.041% | 7.3% | 2026-03-23 19:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -15.17%E -8.29%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV +0.321%E +0.172%K +0.369%G +0.001% | 8.1% | 2026-03-23 19:31 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -16.57%E -9.20%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV +3.00%E +1.56%K +3.26%G +0.098% | 7.6% | 2026-03-23 19:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -16.57%E -9.20%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV +3.00%E +1.56%K +3.26%G +0.098% | 7.6% | 2026-03-23 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -16.57%E -9.20%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +2.47%E +1.29%K +2.71%G +0.067% | 7.9% | 2026-03-23 19:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.50% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.50% | 0.0% | 2026-03-23 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50% | 0.3% | 2026-03-23 19:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75% | 1.5% | 2026-03-23 19:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 1.6% | 2026-03-23 19:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04% | 2.5% | 2026-03-23 19:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.09I 47.85%NM 43.67% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33% | 9.6% | 2026-03-23 19:40 |