L’École des cotes

Hailey Baptiste v Jelena Ostapenko

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-23 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hailey Baptiste (Local)

Prévision 46.35%2.16cote équitable
EV +8.00%
Avantage +3.43%
Kelly +6.02%
Croissance +0.481%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.56%46.43%45.42%51.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.971.922.3355.56%50.76%51.95%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jelena Ostapenko (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.65%1.86cote équitable
EV +5.69%
Avantage +2.89%
Kelly +5.86%
Croissance +0.333%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.29%53.57%54.58%59.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.591.811.851.9762.89%55.18%54.20%50.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings2.33I 42.92%NM 40.56%EV +8.00%E +3.43%K +6.02%G +0.481%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.44%EV -14.70%E -9.25%K -24.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 19:40
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +1.98%E +0.898%K +1.65%G +0.033%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -11.48%E -6.96%K -17.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-23 19:40
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +1.98%E +0.898%K +1.65%G +0.033%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -13.09%E -8.08%K -21.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-23 19:40
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +1.98%E +0.898%K +1.65%G +0.033%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -13.63%E -8.46%K -22.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 19:39
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -0.342%E -0.159%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -8.80%E -5.18%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 19:40
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -0.342%E -0.159%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -9.34%E -5.52%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-23 19:40
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.73%E -0.817%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.19%E -4.16%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 19:39
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.66%E -1.27%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.26%E -4.83%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-23 19:39
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.66%E -1.27%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.41%E -6.23%K -15.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-23 19:39
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.66%E -1.27%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.41%E -6.23%K -15.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-23 19:39
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -2.66%E -1.27%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -11.48%E -6.96%K -17.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-23 19:39
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.59%E -1.72%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.12%E -3.50%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 19:39
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.59%E -1.72%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.12%E -3.50%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 19:39
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.59%E -1.72%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.12%E -3.50%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 19:39
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.98%E -2.43%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.12%E -3.50%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 19:39
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.98%E -2.43%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 19:39
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.98%E -2.43%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 19:39
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.98%E -2.43%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.80%E -5.18%K -12.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 19:40
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -4.98%E -2.43%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -13.09%E -8.08%K -21.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-23 19:39
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -5.44%E -2.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -7.19%E -4.16%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 19:39
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -5.44%E -2.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -7.19%E -4.16%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 19:39
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -6.37%E -3.15%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -8.26%E -4.83%K -11.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-23 19:39
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -7.30%E -3.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -10.41%E -6.23%K -15.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-23 19:40
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -9.61%E -4.93%K -10.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +0.321%E +0.172%K +0.369%G +0.001%4.8%2026-03-23 19:39
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.61%E -4.93%K -10.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.43%E -1.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.61%E -4.93%K -10.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.43%E -1.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 19:40
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -10.54%E -5.46%K -11.33%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV +5.69%E +2.89%K +5.86%G +0.333%2.6%2026-03-23 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -10.54%E -5.46%K -11.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +0.321%E +0.172%K +0.369%G +0.001%5.3%2026-03-23 19:40
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -10.54%E -5.46%K -11.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +0.321%E +0.172%K +0.369%G +0.001%5.3%2026-03-23 19:40
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -10.54%E -5.46%K -11.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +0.321%E +0.172%K +0.369%G +0.001%5.3%2026-03-23 19:40
Unibet (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -11.00%E -5.73%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV +1.39%E +0.737%K +1.57%G +0.022%5.0%2026-03-23 18:39
ReBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -11.00%E -5.73%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV +1.39%E +0.737%K +1.57%G +0.022%5.0%2026-03-23 18:39
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -11.47%E -6.00%K -12.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +2.47%E +1.29%K +2.71%G +0.067%4.7%2026-03-23 19:30
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -11.47%E -6.00%K -12.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +2.47%E +1.29%K +2.71%G +0.067%4.7%2026-03-23 19:24
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -11.47%E -6.00%K -12.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +2.47%E +1.29%K +2.71%G +0.067%4.7%2026-03-23 18:39
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -11.47%E -6.00%K -12.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +2.47%E +1.29%K +2.71%G +0.067%4.7%2026-03-23 18:39
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -11.47%E -6.00%K -12.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV +1.93%E +1.02%K +2.14%G +0.041%5.0%2026-03-23 18:39
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.47%E -6.00%K -12.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.83%E -0.997%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 19:40
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -11.93%E -6.28%K -13.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV +2.47%E +1.29%K +2.71%G +0.067%5.0%2026-03-23 19:37
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -11.93%E -6.28%K -13.26%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +1.93%E +1.02%K +2.14%G +0.041%5.3%2026-03-23 19:24
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -11.93%E -6.28%K -13.26%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +1.93%E +1.02%K +2.14%G +0.041%5.3%2026-03-23 19:30
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -11.93%E -6.28%K -13.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -0.752%E -0.407%K -0.885%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-23 19:40
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -11.93%E -6.28%K -13.26%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -1.29%E -0.700%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 19:40
Bally Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -12.39%E -6.56%K -13.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -1.83%E -0.997%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 19:40
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -12.86%E -6.84%K -14.61%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV +3.00%E +1.56%K +3.26%G +0.098%5.3%2026-03-23 19:29
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -12.86%E -6.84%K -14.61%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV +0.857%E +0.456%K +0.974%G +0.008%6.4%2026-03-23 19:30
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -12.86%E -6.84%K -14.61%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -1.29%E -0.700%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-23 19:40
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -13.32%E -7.12%K -15.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +4.61%E +2.37%K +4.86%G +0.224%4.8%2026-03-23 18:39
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -13.32%E -7.12%K -15.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +4.61%E +2.37%K +4.86%G +0.224%4.8%2026-03-23 18:39
Betr (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -13.32%E -7.12%K -15.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV +1.93%E +1.02%K +2.14%G +0.041%6.1%2026-03-23 19:00
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -13.32%E -7.12%K -15.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +0.321%E +0.172%K +0.369%G +0.001%7.0%2026-03-23 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -13.32%E -7.12%K -15.31%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -2.90%E -1.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-23 19:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -13.78%E -7.41%K -16.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV +2.47%E +1.29%K +2.71%G +0.067%6.1%2026-03-23 19:19
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -14.25%E -7.70%K -16.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -0.752%E -0.407%K -0.885%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-23 19:25
Unibet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -14.71%E -8.00%K -17.51%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV +5.69%E +2.89%K +5.86%G +0.333%5.1%2026-03-23 19:39
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -15.17%E -8.29%K -18.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV +1.93%E +1.02%K +2.14%G +0.041%7.3%2026-03-23 19:29
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -15.17%E -8.29%K -18.28%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV +0.321%E +0.172%K +0.369%G +0.001%8.1%2026-03-23 19:31
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -16.57%E -9.20%K -20.71%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV +3.00%E +1.56%K +3.26%G +0.098%7.6%2026-03-23 19:25
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -16.57%E -9.20%K -20.71%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV +3.00%E +1.56%K +3.26%G +0.098%7.6%2026-03-23 19:25
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -16.57%E -9.20%K -20.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +2.47%E +1.29%K +2.71%G +0.067%7.9%2026-03-23 19:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.50%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.50%0.0%2026-03-23 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%0.3%2026-03-23 19:40
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-23 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-03-23 19:40
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-03-23 19:40
ProphetX2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%2.5%2026-03-23 19:40
Novig2.09I 47.85%NM 43.67%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%9.6%2026-03-23 19:40