La escuela de los momios

Hailey Baptiste v Jelena Ostapenko

Inicio: 2026-03-23 20:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Hailey Baptiste (Local)

Predicción 46.35%2.16momio equitativo
EV +8.00%
Ventaja +3.43%
Kelly +6.02%
Crecimiento +0.481%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.56%46.43%45.42%51.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.971.922.3355.56%50.76%51.95%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jelena Ostapenko (Visitante)

Predicción 53.65%1.86momio equitativo
EV +5.69%
Ventaja +2.89%
Kelly +5.86%
Crecimiento +0.333%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.29%53.57%54.58%59.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.591.811.851.9762.89%55.18%54.20%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
DraftKings2.33I 42.92%NM 40.56%EV +8.00%E +3.43%K +6.02%G +0.481%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.44%EV -14.70%E -9.25%K -24.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 19:40
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +1.98%E +0.898%K +1.65%G +0.033%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -11.48%E -6.96%K -17.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-23 19:40
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +1.98%E +0.898%K +1.65%G +0.033%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -13.09%E -8.08%K -21.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-23 19:40
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +1.98%E +0.898%K +1.65%G +0.033%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -13.63%E -8.46%K -22.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 19:39
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -0.342%E -0.159%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -8.80%E -5.18%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 19:40
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -0.342%E -0.159%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -9.34%E -5.52%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-23 19:40
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.73%E -0.817%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.19%E -4.16%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 19:39
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.66%E -1.27%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.26%E -4.83%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-23 19:39
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.66%E -1.27%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.41%E -6.23%K -15.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-23 19:39
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.66%E -1.27%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.41%E -6.23%K -15.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-23 19:39
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -2.66%E -1.27%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -11.48%E -6.96%K -17.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-23 19:39
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.59%E -1.72%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.12%E -3.50%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 19:39
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.59%E -1.72%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.12%E -3.50%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 19:39
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.59%E -1.72%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.12%E -3.50%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 19:39
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.98%E -2.43%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.12%E -3.50%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 19:39
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.98%E -2.43%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 19:39
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.98%E -2.43%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 19:39
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.98%E -2.43%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.80%E -5.18%K -12.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 19:40
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -4.98%E -2.43%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -13.09%E -8.08%K -21.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-23 19:39
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -5.44%E -2.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -7.19%E -4.16%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 19:39
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -5.44%E -2.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -7.19%E -4.16%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 19:39
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -6.37%E -3.15%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -8.26%E -4.83%K -11.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-23 19:39
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -7.30%E -3.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -10.41%E -6.23%K -15.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-23 19:40
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -9.61%E -4.93%K -10.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +0.321%E +0.172%K +0.369%G +0.001%4.8%2026-03-23 19:39
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.61%E -4.93%K -10.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.43%E -1.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.61%E -4.93%K -10.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.43%E -1.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 19:40
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -10.54%E -5.46%K -11.33%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV +5.69%E +2.89%K +5.86%G +0.333%2.6%2026-03-23 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -10.54%E -5.46%K -11.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +0.321%E +0.172%K +0.369%G +0.001%5.3%2026-03-23 19:40
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -10.54%E -5.46%K -11.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +0.321%E +0.172%K +0.369%G +0.001%5.3%2026-03-23 19:40
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -10.54%E -5.46%K -11.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +0.321%E +0.172%K +0.369%G +0.001%5.3%2026-03-23 19:40
Unibet (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -11.00%E -5.73%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV +1.39%E +0.737%K +1.57%G +0.022%5.0%2026-03-23 18:39
ReBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -11.00%E -5.73%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV +1.39%E +0.737%K +1.57%G +0.022%5.0%2026-03-23 18:39
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -11.47%E -6.00%K -12.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +2.47%E +1.29%K +2.71%G +0.067%4.7%2026-03-23 19:30
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -11.47%E -6.00%K -12.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +2.47%E +1.29%K +2.71%G +0.067%4.7%2026-03-23 19:24
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -11.47%E -6.00%K -12.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +2.47%E +1.29%K +2.71%G +0.067%4.7%2026-03-23 18:39
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -11.47%E -6.00%K -12.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +2.47%E +1.29%K +2.71%G +0.067%4.7%2026-03-23 18:39
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -11.47%E -6.00%K -12.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV +1.93%E +1.02%K +2.14%G +0.041%5.0%2026-03-23 18:39
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.47%E -6.00%K -12.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.83%E -0.997%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 19:40
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -11.93%E -6.28%K -13.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV +2.47%E +1.29%K +2.71%G +0.067%5.0%2026-03-23 19:37
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -11.93%E -6.28%K -13.26%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +1.93%E +1.02%K +2.14%G +0.041%5.3%2026-03-23 19:24
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -11.93%E -6.28%K -13.26%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +1.93%E +1.02%K +2.14%G +0.041%5.3%2026-03-23 19:30
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -11.93%E -6.28%K -13.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -0.752%E -0.407%K -0.885%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-23 19:40
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -11.93%E -6.28%K -13.26%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -1.29%E -0.700%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 19:40
Bally Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -12.39%E -6.56%K -13.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -1.83%E -0.997%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 19:40
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -12.86%E -6.84%K -14.61%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV +3.00%E +1.56%K +3.26%G +0.098%5.3%2026-03-23 19:29
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -12.86%E -6.84%K -14.61%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV +0.857%E +0.456%K +0.974%G +0.008%6.4%2026-03-23 19:30
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -12.86%E -6.84%K -14.61%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -1.29%E -0.700%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-23 19:40
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -13.32%E -7.12%K -15.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +4.61%E +2.37%K +4.86%G +0.224%4.8%2026-03-23 18:39
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -13.32%E -7.12%K -15.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +4.61%E +2.37%K +4.86%G +0.224%4.8%2026-03-23 18:39
Betr (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -13.32%E -7.12%K -15.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV +1.93%E +1.02%K +2.14%G +0.041%6.1%2026-03-23 19:00
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -13.32%E -7.12%K -15.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +0.321%E +0.172%K +0.369%G +0.001%7.0%2026-03-23 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -13.32%E -7.12%K -15.31%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -2.90%E -1.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-23 19:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -13.78%E -7.41%K -16.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV +2.47%E +1.29%K +2.71%G +0.067%6.1%2026-03-23 19:19
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -14.25%E -7.70%K -16.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -0.752%E -0.407%K -0.885%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-23 19:25
Unibet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -14.71%E -8.00%K -17.51%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV +5.69%E +2.89%K +5.86%G +0.333%5.1%2026-03-23 19:39
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -15.17%E -8.29%K -18.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV +1.93%E +1.02%K +2.14%G +0.041%7.3%2026-03-23 19:29
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -15.17%E -8.29%K -18.28%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV +0.321%E +0.172%K +0.369%G +0.001%8.1%2026-03-23 19:31
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -16.57%E -9.20%K -20.71%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV +3.00%E +1.56%K +3.26%G +0.098%7.6%2026-03-23 19:25
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -16.57%E -9.20%K -20.71%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV +3.00%E +1.56%K +3.26%G +0.098%7.6%2026-03-23 19:25
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -16.57%E -9.20%K -20.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +2.47%E +1.29%K +2.71%G +0.067%7.9%2026-03-23 19:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.50%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.50%0.0%2026-03-23 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%0.3%2026-03-23 19:40
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-23 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-03-23 19:40
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-03-23 19:40
ProphetX2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%2.5%2026-03-23 19:40
Novig2.09I 47.85%NM 43.67%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%9.6%2026-03-23 19:40