Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.40
assuming max odds 1.45
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Emiliana Arango (Local): 31.90%; Oksana Selekhmeteva (Visit): 68.10%. For Emiliana Arango (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.13. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.47%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +8.47%E +2.49%K +3.53%G +0.299% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -10.11%E -7.66%K -31.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 19:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +5.28%E +1.60%K +2.30%G +0.121% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -10.11%E -7.66%K -31.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 19:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +2.09%E +0.653%K +0.949%G +0.020% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -8.07%E -5.98%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%EV +1.45%E +0.456%K +0.665%G +0.010% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.43%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 19:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.10%E -0.355%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 19:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.10%E -0.355%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 19:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -1.10%E -0.355%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.07%E -5.98%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 19:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -1.10%E -0.355%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -1.74%E -0.565%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -8.75%E -6.53%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 19:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -3.33%E -1.10%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -3.33%E -1.10%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -3.65%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -6.71%E -4.90%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 19:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 18:57 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 19:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 19:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.34%E -3.85%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.34%E -3.85%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 18:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.03%E -4.37%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 18:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:13 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 19:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 19:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.34%E -3.85%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -8.75%E -6.53%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 19:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 19:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 19:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 19:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 19:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 19:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 19:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 19:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.03%E -4.37%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-19 19:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.03%E -4.37%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-19 19:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.44%E -2.94%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 19:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.44%E -2.94%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 19:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.62%E -1.83%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 19:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -8.07%E -5.98%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-19 19:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.30%E -2.33%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 19:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 19:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 19:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 19:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -5.34%E -3.85%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-19 19:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -12.59%E -4.59%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -1.26%E -0.868%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 19:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -13.86%E -5.13%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -5.34%E -3.85%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-19 19:14 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-03-19 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 1.3% | 2026-03-19 19:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 19:15 |
| Novig◎ | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.35% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.65% | 2.7% | 2026-03-19 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26% | 3.6% | 2026-03-19 19:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 19:15 |