La escuela de los momios

Emiliana Arango v Oksana Selekhmeteva

Inicio: 2026-03-19 19:18 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Emiliana Arango (Local)

Predicción 31.90%3.13momio equitativo
EV +8.47%
Ventaja +2.49%
Kelly +3.53%
Crecimiento +0.299%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.97%31.75%31.71%34.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.962.953.4037.04%33.78%33.90%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Oksana Selekhmeteva (Visitante)

Predicción 68.10%1.47momio equitativo
EV -1.26%
Ventaja -0.868%
Kelly -2.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.39%68.25%68.29%72.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.381.391.4575.76%72.45%71.94%68.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +8.47%E +2.49%K +3.53%G +0.299%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -10.11%E -7.66%K -31.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:14
Betsson3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +5.28%E +1.60%K +2.30%G +0.121%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -10.11%E -7.66%K -31.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 19:14
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +2.09%E +0.653%K +0.949%G +0.020%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -8.07%E -5.98%K -23.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:15
Pinnacle3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%EV +1.45%E +0.456%K +0.665%G +0.010%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.43%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 19:10
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.10%E -0.355%K -0.525%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:10
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.10%E -0.355%K -0.525%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:09
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -1.10%E -0.355%K -0.525%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.07%E -5.98%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 19:15
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -1.10%E -0.355%K -0.525%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 19:00
SportsBet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -1.74%E -0.565%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -8.75%E -6.53%K -25.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 19:04
LowVig.ag3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -3.33%E -1.10%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 19:00
BetOnline.ag3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -3.33%E -1.10%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 19:00
Unibet (FR)3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -3.65%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -6.71%E -4.90%K -18.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 19:00
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 18:57
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:00
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:10
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.34%E -3.85%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:00
ReBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.34%E -3.85%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:59
Parions Sport (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.03%E -4.37%K -15.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 18:59
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:13
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:15
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:00
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:09
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:14
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:10
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:09
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 19:15
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 19:14
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:14
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:15
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:14
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:14
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:15
Hard Rock Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:14
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.34%E -3.85%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:00
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -8.75%E -6.53%K -25.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 19:15
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 19:00
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 19:00
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 19:00
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 19:00
BetRivers2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 19:15
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 19:15
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 19:14
Virgin Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.03%E -4.37%K -15.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 19:14
Bally Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.03%E -4.37%K -15.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.44%E -2.94%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 19:00
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.44%E -2.94%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 19:00
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.62%E -1.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 19:14
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -8.07%E -5.98%K -23.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-19 19:14
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.30%E -2.33%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 19:15
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 19:00
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 19:00
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 19:09
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -5.34%E -3.85%K -13.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-19 19:14
DraftKings2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -12.59%E -4.59%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -1.26%E -0.868%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 19:14
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -13.86%E -5.13%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -5.34%E -3.85%K -13.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 19:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-03-19 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-03-19 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%1.3%2026-03-19 19:15
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00%1.5%2026-03-19 19:15
Novig3.56I 28.09%NM 27.35%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.65%2.7%2026-03-19 19:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%3.6%2026-03-19 19:15
ProphetX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%5.9%2026-03-19 19:15