La scuola delle quote

Emiliana Arango v Oksana Selekhmeteva

Inizio: 2026-03-19 19:18 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Emiliana Arango (Casa)

Previsione 31.90%3.13quota equa
EV +8.47%
Vantaggio +2.49%
Kelly +3.53%
Crescita +0.299%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.97%31.75%31.71%34.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.962.953.4037.04%33.78%33.90%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Oksana Selekhmeteva (Trasferta)

Previsione 68.10%1.47quota equa
EV -1.26%
Vantaggio -0.868%
Kelly -2.80%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.39%68.25%68.29%72.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.381.391.4575.76%72.45%71.94%68.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +8.47%E +2.49%K +3.53%G +0.299%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -10.11%E -7.66%K -31.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:14
Betsson3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +5.28%E +1.60%K +2.30%G +0.121%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -10.11%E -7.66%K -31.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 19:14
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +2.09%E +0.653%K +0.949%G +0.020%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -8.07%E -5.98%K -23.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:15
Pinnacle3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%EV +1.45%E +0.456%K +0.665%G +0.010%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.43%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 19:10
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.10%E -0.355%K -0.525%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:10
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.10%E -0.355%K -0.525%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:09
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -1.10%E -0.355%K -0.525%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.07%E -5.98%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 19:15
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -1.10%E -0.355%K -0.525%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 19:00
SportsBet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -1.74%E -0.565%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -8.75%E -6.53%K -25.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 19:04
LowVig.ag3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -3.33%E -1.10%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 19:00
BetOnline.ag3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -3.33%E -1.10%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 19:00
Unibet (FR)3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -3.65%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -6.71%E -4.90%K -18.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 19:00
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 18:57
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:00
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:10
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.34%E -3.85%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:00
ReBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.34%E -3.85%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:59
Parions Sport (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.03%E -4.37%K -15.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 18:59
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:13
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:15
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:00
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:09
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:14
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:10
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:09
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 19:15
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.43%E -7.09%K -28.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 19:14
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:14
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:15
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:14
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:14
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:15
Hard Rock Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:14
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.34%E -3.85%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:00
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -8.75%E -6.53%K -25.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 19:15
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 19:00
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 19:00
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 19:00
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 19:00
BetRivers2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 19:15
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 19:15
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 19:14
Virgin Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.03%E -4.37%K -15.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 19:14
Bally Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.03%E -4.37%K -15.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.44%E -2.94%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 19:00
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.44%E -2.94%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 19:00
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.62%E -1.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 19:14
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -8.07%E -5.98%K -23.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-19 19:14
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.30%E -2.33%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 19:15
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 19:00
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 19:00
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 19:09
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -5.34%E -3.85%K -13.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.39%E -5.43%K -20.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-19 19:14
DraftKings2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -12.59%E -4.59%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -1.26%E -0.868%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 19:14
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -13.86%E -5.13%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -5.34%E -3.85%K -13.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 19:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-03-19 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-03-19 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%1.3%2026-03-19 19:15
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00%1.5%2026-03-19 19:15
Novig3.56I 28.09%NM 27.35%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.65%2.7%2026-03-19 19:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%3.6%2026-03-19 19:15
ProphetX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%5.9%2026-03-19 19:15