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Elena Gabriela Ruse v Madison Keys
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local)
Prediction 19.36%5.17fair odd
EV +35.52%
Edge +5.07%
Kelly +5.92%
Growth +2.10%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.58%21.17%17.04%34.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.754.575.007.0036.36%21.90%20.00%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Madison Keys (Visit)
Prediction 80.64%1.24fair odd
EV +15.31%
Edge +10.71%
Kelly +35.62%
Growth +5.45%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.95%78.83%82.96%86.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.231.151.4391.74%81.10%86.96%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local): 19.36%; Madison Keys (Visit): 80.64%. For Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.17. 27 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +35.52%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -42.89%E -14.54%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV +15.31%E +10.71%K +35.62%G +5.45% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 17:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -42.89%E -14.54%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV +14.51%E +10.22%K +34.54%G +5.01% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -43.85%E -15.12%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV +14.51%E +10.22%K +34.54%G +5.01% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 17:38 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -44.24%E -15.36%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV +14.51%E +10.22%K +34.54%G +5.01% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -46.76%E -17.00%K -26.72%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV +14.51%E +10.22%K +34.54%G +5.01% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 08:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -42.89%E -14.54%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV +13.70%E +9.72%K +33.42%G +4.58% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 16:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -44.05%E -15.24%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV +13.70%E +9.72%K +33.42%G +4.58% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 16:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -44.82%E -15.73%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV +13.70%E +9.72%K +33.42%G +4.58% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 17:33 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -41.92%E -13.97%K -20.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +12.90%E +9.21%K +32.24%G +4.16% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 17:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -42.11%E -14.08%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV +12.90%E +9.21%K +32.24%G +4.16% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -43.85%E -15.12%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +12.90%E +9.21%K +32.24%G +4.16% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -45.79%E -16.35%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +12.90%E +9.21%K +32.24%G +4.16% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 17:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -45.79%E -16.35%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +12.90%E +9.21%K +32.24%G +4.16% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -45.79%E -16.35%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +12.90%E +9.21%K +32.24%G +4.16% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 17:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -45.79%E -16.35%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +12.90%E +9.21%K +32.24%G +4.16% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -46.76%E -17.00%K -26.72%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV +12.90%E +9.21%K +32.24%G +4.16% | 7.8% | 2026-03-20 22:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -44.82%E -15.73%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV +12.09%E +8.70%K +31.00%G +3.75% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 17:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.86%EV -43.27%E -14.77%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.14%EV +10.48%E +7.65%K +28.31%G +2.97% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 17:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -44.82%E -15.73%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV +10.48%E +7.65%K +28.31%G +2.97% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 17:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.47I 28.82%NM 28.01%EV -32.82%E -9.46%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.99%EV +8.86%E +6.57%K +25.32%G +2.24% | 2.9% | 2026-03-21 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -34.76%E -10.31%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV +8.06%E +6.01%K +23.70%G +1.91% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 17:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -34.76%E -10.31%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV +8.06%E +6.01%K +23.70%G +1.91% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 17:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -37.08%E -11.41%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV +7.25%E +5.45%K +21.97%G +1.59% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 17:38 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.20%E -0.640%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.85%E -4.11%K -26.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -14.81%E -3.37%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.85%E -4.11%K -26.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.65%E -4.83%K -33.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 17:43 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV -4.17%E -0.842%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.01%EV -6.46%E -5.57%K -40.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +6.48%E +1.18%K +1.44%G +0.093% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.26%E -6.32%K -48.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +6.48%E +1.18%K +1.44%G +0.093% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.26%E -6.32%K -48.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.20%E -0.640%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.26%E -6.32%K -48.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.20%E -0.640%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.26%E -6.32%K -48.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -8.04%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.26%E -6.32%K -48.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -8.04%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.26%E -6.32%K -48.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +12.29%E +2.12%K +2.56%G +0.315% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -8.07%E -7.08%K -57.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +12.29%E +2.12%K +2.56%G +0.315% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -8.07%E -7.08%K -57.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +12.29%E +2.12%K +2.56%G +0.315% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -8.07%E -7.08%K -57.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +12.29%E +2.12%K +2.56%G +0.315% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -8.07%E -7.08%K -57.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +11.32%E +1.97%K +2.38%G +0.270% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -8.07%E -7.08%K -57.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV +10.35%E +1.82%K +2.20%G +0.228% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -8.07%E -7.08%K -57.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV +10.35%E +1.82%K +2.20%G +0.228% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -8.07%E -7.08%K -57.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV +0.674%E +0.130%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -8.07%E -7.08%K -57.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.20%E -0.640%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.07%E -7.08%K -57.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.39I 15.65%NM 15.03%EV +23.71%E +3.71%K +4.40%G +1.04% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.97%EV -8.88%E -7.86%K -68.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +16.16%E +2.69%K +3.23%G +0.522% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -8.88%E -7.86%K -68.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV +8.42%E +1.50%K +1.83%G +0.154% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -8.88%E -7.86%K -68.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +6.48%E +1.18%K +1.44%G +0.093% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -8.88%E -7.86%K -68.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +6.48%E +1.18%K +1.44%G +0.093% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -8.88%E -7.86%K -68.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +6.48%E +1.18%K +1.44%G +0.093% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -8.88%E -7.86%K -68.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -1.26%E -0.247%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -8.88%E -7.86%K -68.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +18.10%E +2.97%K +3.55%G +0.642% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -9.68%E -8.65%K -80.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +12.29%E +2.12%K +2.56%G +0.315% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -9.68%E -8.65%K -80.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +11.32%E +1.97%K +2.38%G +0.270% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -9.68%E -8.65%K -80.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV +4.55%E +0.842%K +1.03%G +0.047% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -9.68%E -8.65%K -80.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV +4.55%E +0.842%K +1.03%G +0.047% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -9.68%E -8.65%K -80.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV +11.32%E +1.97%K +2.38%G +0.270% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -10.49%E -9.45%K -95.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +35.52%E +5.07%K +5.92%G +2.10% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -11.30%E -10.27%K -112.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +25.84%E +3.98%K +4.70%G +1.21% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -11.30%E -10.27%K -112.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV +16.16%E +2.69%K +3.23%G +0.522% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -11.30%E -10.27%K -112.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +25.84%E +3.98%K +4.70%G +1.21% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -12.10%E -11.10%K -134.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV +21.00%E +3.36%K +4.00%G +0.840% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -12.10%E -11.10%K -134.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.83% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.17% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.66% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 2.4% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88% | 3.1% | 2026-03-21 17:38 |
| Novig◎ | 6.62I 15.11%NM 13.12% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 86.88% | 15.1% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |