L’École des cotes

Elena Gabriela Ruse v Madison Keys

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 17:50 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local)

Prévision 19.36%5.17cote équitable
EV +35.52%
Avantage +5.07%
Kelly +5.92%
Croissance +2.10%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.58%21.17%17.04%34.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.754.575.007.0036.36%21.90%20.00%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Madison Keys (Visiteur)

Prévision 80.64%1.24cote équitable
EV +15.31%
Avantage +10.71%
Kelly +35.62%
Croissance +5.45%

avec la cote maximale 1.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.95%78.83%82.96%86.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.091.231.151.4391.74%81.10%86.96%69.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -42.89%E -14.54%K -21.99%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV +15.31%E +10.71%K +35.62%G +5.45%3.8%2026-03-21 17:39
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -42.89%E -14.54%K -21.99%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV +14.51%E +10.22%K +34.54%G +5.01%4.3%2026-03-21 15:00
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -43.85%E -15.12%K -23.08%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV +14.51%E +10.22%K +34.54%G +5.01%4.9%2026-03-21 17:38
Bet Right2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -44.24%E -15.36%K -23.53%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV +14.51%E +10.22%K +34.54%G +5.01%5.1%2026-03-21 17:34
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -46.76%E -17.00%K -26.72%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV +14.51%E +10.22%K +34.54%G +5.01%6.8%2026-03-21 08:49
ReBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -42.89%E -14.54%K -21.99%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV +13.70%E +9.72%K +33.42%G +4.58%4.8%2026-03-21 16:34
Marathon Bet2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -44.05%E -15.24%K -23.31%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV +13.70%E +9.72%K +33.42%G +4.58%5.5%2026-03-21 16:24
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -44.82%E -15.73%K -24.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV +13.70%E +9.72%K +33.42%G +4.58%6.0%2026-03-21 17:33
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -41.92%E -13.97%K -20.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +12.90%E +9.21%K +32.24%G +4.16%4.8%2026-03-21 17:29
GTbets2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -42.11%E -14.08%K -21.16%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV +12.90%E +9.21%K +32.24%G +4.16%4.9%2026-03-21 17:34
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -43.85%E -15.12%K -23.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +12.90%E +9.21%K +32.24%G +4.16%5.9%2026-03-20 22:10
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -45.79%E -16.35%K -25.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +12.90%E +9.21%K +32.24%G +4.16%7.1%2026-03-21 17:19
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -45.79%E -16.35%K -25.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +12.90%E +9.21%K +32.24%G +4.16%7.1%2026-03-21 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -45.79%E -16.35%K -25.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +12.90%E +9.21%K +32.24%G +4.16%7.1%2026-03-21 17:35
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -45.79%E -16.35%K -25.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +12.90%E +9.21%K +32.24%G +4.16%7.1%2026-03-21 17:34
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -46.76%E -17.00%K -26.72%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV +12.90%E +9.21%K +32.24%G +4.16%7.8%2026-03-20 22:04
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -44.82%E -15.73%K -24.23%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV +12.09%E +8.70%K +31.00%G +3.75%7.0%2026-03-21 17:29
SportsBet2.93I 34.13%NM 31.86%EV -43.27%E -14.77%K -22.42%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.14%EV +10.48%E +7.65%K +28.31%G +2.97%7.1%2026-03-21 17:35
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -44.82%E -15.73%K -24.23%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV +10.48%E +7.65%K +28.31%G +2.97%8.1%2026-03-21 17:18
Pinnacle3.47I 28.82%NM 28.01%EV -32.82%E -9.46%K -13.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.99%EV +8.86%E +6.57%K +25.32%G +2.24%2.9%2026-03-21 17:39
LowVig.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -34.76%E -10.31%K -14.66%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV +8.06%E +6.01%K +23.70%G +1.91%4.3%2026-03-21 17:39
BetOnline.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -34.76%E -10.31%K -14.66%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV +8.06%E +6.01%K +23.70%G +1.91%4.3%2026-03-21 17:40
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -37.08%E -11.41%K -16.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV +7.25%E +5.45%K +21.97%G +1.59%6.0%2026-03-21 17:38
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.20%E -0.640%K -0.800%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.85%E -4.11%K -26.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 17:44
TAB4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -14.81%E -3.37%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.85%E -4.11%K -26.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 17:45
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.65%E -4.83%K -33.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 17:43
NordicBet4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV -4.17%E -0.842%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.01%EV -6.46%E -5.57%K -40.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 17:44
betPARX5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +6.48%E +1.18%K +1.44%G +0.093%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.26%E -6.32%K -48.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 17:44
Svenska Spel5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +6.48%E +1.18%K +1.44%G +0.093%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.26%E -6.32%K -48.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 17:44
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.20%E -0.640%K -0.800%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.26%E -6.32%K -48.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.20%E -0.640%K -0.800%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.26%E -6.32%K -48.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 17:45
888sport4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -8.04%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.26%E -6.32%K -48.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 17:44
888sport (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -8.04%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.26%E -6.32%K -48.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 17:44
Unibet (NL)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +12.29%E +2.12%K +2.56%G +0.315%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -8.07%E -7.08%K -57.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 17:44
Unibet (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +12.29%E +2.12%K +2.56%G +0.315%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -8.07%E -7.08%K -57.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 17:44
Unibet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +12.29%E +2.12%K +2.56%G +0.315%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -8.07%E -7.08%K -57.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 17:44
ATG (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +12.29%E +2.12%K +2.56%G +0.315%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -8.07%E -7.08%K -57.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 17:44
Hard Rock Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +11.32%E +1.97%K +2.38%G +0.270%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -8.07%E -7.08%K -57.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 17:44
Betsson5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV +10.35%E +1.82%K +2.20%G +0.228%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -8.07%E -7.08%K -57.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:44
FanDuel5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV +10.35%E +1.82%K +2.20%G +0.228%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -8.07%E -7.08%K -57.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:44
Grosvenor5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV +0.674%E +0.130%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -8.07%E -7.08%K -57.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 17:44
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.20%E -0.640%K -0.800%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.07%E -7.08%K -57.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 17:44
DraftKings6.39I 15.65%NM 15.03%EV +23.71%E +3.71%K +4.40%G +1.04%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.97%EV -8.88%E -7.86%K -68.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 17:44
Coolbet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +16.16%E +2.69%K +3.23%G +0.522%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -8.88%E -7.86%K -68.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 17:44
Winamax (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV +8.42%E +1.50%K +1.83%G +0.154%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -8.88%E -7.86%K -68.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 17:44
LiveScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +6.48%E +1.18%K +1.44%G +0.093%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -8.88%E -7.86%K -68.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 17:44
Bally Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +6.48%E +1.18%K +1.44%G +0.093%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -8.88%E -7.86%K -68.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 17:44
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +6.48%E +1.18%K +1.44%G +0.093%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -8.88%E -7.86%K -68.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 17:44
LeoVegas5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -1.26%E -0.247%K -0.308%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -8.88%E -7.86%K -68.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 17:44
Casumo6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +18.10%E +2.97%K +3.55%G +0.642%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -9.68%E -8.65%K -80.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 17:45
BetRivers5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +12.29%E +2.12%K +2.56%G +0.315%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -9.68%E -8.65%K -80.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 17:45
TABtouch5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +11.32%E +1.97%K +2.38%G +0.270%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -9.68%E -8.65%K -80.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 17:45
Fanatics5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV +4.55%E +0.842%K +1.03%G +0.047%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -9.68%E -8.65%K -80.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:44
LeoVegas (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV +4.55%E +0.842%K +1.03%G +0.047%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -9.68%E -8.65%K -80.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:44
Virgin Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV +11.32%E +1.97%K +2.38%G +0.270%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -10.49%E -9.45%K -95.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 17:45
Betway7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +35.52%E +5.07%K +5.92%G +2.10%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -11.30%E -10.27%K -112.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 17:45
theScore Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +25.84%E +3.98%K +4.70%G +1.21%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -11.30%E -10.27%K -112.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:44
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV +16.16%E +2.69%K +3.23%G +0.522%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -11.30%E -10.27%K -112.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 17:44
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +25.84%E +3.98%K +4.70%G +1.21%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -12.10%E -11.10%K -134.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:45
Winamax (DE)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV +21.00%E +3.36%K +4.00%G +0.840%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -12.10%E -11.10%K -134.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 17:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-03-21 17:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-03-21 17:45
ProphetX7.10I 14.08%NM 13.83%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.17%1.8%2026-03-21 17:44
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34%1.16I 86.21%NM 84.66%1.8%2026-03-21 17:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%2.4%2026-03-21 17:44
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%3.1%2026-03-21 17:38
Novig6.62I 15.11%NM 13.12%1.00I 100.00%NM 86.88%15.1%2026-03-21 17:44