A Escola das Odds

Elena Gabriela Ruse v Madison Keys

Início: 2026-03-21 17:50 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local)

Previsão 19.36%5.17odd justa
EV +35.52%
Vantagem +5.07%
Kelly +5.92%
Crescimento +2.10%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.58%21.17%17.04%34.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.754.575.007.0036.36%21.90%20.00%14.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Madison Keys (Visitante)

Previsão 80.64%1.24odd justa
EV +15.31%
Vantagem +10.71%
Kelly +35.62%
Crescimento +5.45%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.95%78.83%82.96%86.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.091.231.151.4391.74%81.10%86.96%69.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -42.89%E -14.54%K -21.99%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV +15.31%E +10.71%K +35.62%G +5.45%3.8%2026-03-21 17:39
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -42.89%E -14.54%K -21.99%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV +14.51%E +10.22%K +34.54%G +5.01%4.3%2026-03-21 15:00
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -43.85%E -15.12%K -23.08%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV +14.51%E +10.22%K +34.54%G +5.01%4.9%2026-03-21 17:38
Bet Right2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -44.24%E -15.36%K -23.53%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV +14.51%E +10.22%K +34.54%G +5.01%5.1%2026-03-21 17:34
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -46.76%E -17.00%K -26.72%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV +14.51%E +10.22%K +34.54%G +5.01%6.8%2026-03-21 08:49
ReBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -42.89%E -14.54%K -21.99%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV +13.70%E +9.72%K +33.42%G +4.58%4.8%2026-03-21 16:34
Marathon Bet2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -44.05%E -15.24%K -23.31%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV +13.70%E +9.72%K +33.42%G +4.58%5.5%2026-03-21 16:24
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -44.82%E -15.73%K -24.23%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV +13.70%E +9.72%K +33.42%G +4.58%6.0%2026-03-21 17:33
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -41.92%E -13.97%K -20.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +12.90%E +9.21%K +32.24%G +4.16%4.8%2026-03-21 17:29
GTbets2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -42.11%E -14.08%K -21.16%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV +12.90%E +9.21%K +32.24%G +4.16%4.9%2026-03-21 17:34
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -43.85%E -15.12%K -23.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +12.90%E +9.21%K +32.24%G +4.16%5.9%2026-03-20 22:10
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -45.79%E -16.35%K -25.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +12.90%E +9.21%K +32.24%G +4.16%7.1%2026-03-21 17:19
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -45.79%E -16.35%K -25.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +12.90%E +9.21%K +32.24%G +4.16%7.1%2026-03-21 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -45.79%E -16.35%K -25.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +12.90%E +9.21%K +32.24%G +4.16%7.1%2026-03-21 17:35
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -45.79%E -16.35%K -25.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +12.90%E +9.21%K +32.24%G +4.16%7.1%2026-03-21 17:34
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -46.76%E -17.00%K -26.72%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV +12.90%E +9.21%K +32.24%G +4.16%7.8%2026-03-20 22:04
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -44.82%E -15.73%K -24.23%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV +12.09%E +8.70%K +31.00%G +3.75%7.0%2026-03-21 17:29
SportsBet2.93I 34.13%NM 31.86%EV -43.27%E -14.77%K -22.42%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.14%EV +10.48%E +7.65%K +28.31%G +2.97%7.1%2026-03-21 17:35
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -44.82%E -15.73%K -24.23%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV +10.48%E +7.65%K +28.31%G +2.97%8.1%2026-03-21 17:18
Pinnacle3.47I 28.82%NM 28.01%EV -32.82%E -9.46%K -13.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.99%EV +8.86%E +6.57%K +25.32%G +2.24%2.9%2026-03-21 17:39
LowVig.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -34.76%E -10.31%K -14.66%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV +8.06%E +6.01%K +23.70%G +1.91%4.3%2026-03-21 17:39
BetOnline.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -34.76%E -10.31%K -14.66%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV +8.06%E +6.01%K +23.70%G +1.91%4.3%2026-03-21 17:40
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -37.08%E -11.41%K -16.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV +7.25%E +5.45%K +21.97%G +1.59%6.0%2026-03-21 17:38
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.20%E -0.640%K -0.800%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.85%E -4.11%K -26.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 17:44
TAB4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -14.81%E -3.37%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.85%E -4.11%K -26.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 17:45
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.65%E -4.83%K -33.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 17:43
NordicBet4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV -4.17%E -0.842%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.01%EV -6.46%E -5.57%K -40.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 17:44
betPARX5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +6.48%E +1.18%K +1.44%G +0.093%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.26%E -6.32%K -48.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 17:44
Svenska Spel5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +6.48%E +1.18%K +1.44%G +0.093%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.26%E -6.32%K -48.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 17:44
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.20%E -0.640%K -0.800%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.26%E -6.32%K -48.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.20%E -0.640%K -0.800%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.26%E -6.32%K -48.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 17:45
888sport4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -8.04%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.26%E -6.32%K -48.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 17:44
888sport (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -8.04%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.26%E -6.32%K -48.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 17:44
Unibet (NL)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +12.29%E +2.12%K +2.56%G +0.315%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -8.07%E -7.08%K -57.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 17:44
Unibet (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +12.29%E +2.12%K +2.56%G +0.315%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -8.07%E -7.08%K -57.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 17:44
Unibet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +12.29%E +2.12%K +2.56%G +0.315%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -8.07%E -7.08%K -57.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 17:44
ATG (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +12.29%E +2.12%K +2.56%G +0.315%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -8.07%E -7.08%K -57.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 17:44
Hard Rock Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +11.32%E +1.97%K +2.38%G +0.270%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -8.07%E -7.08%K -57.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 17:44
Betsson5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV +10.35%E +1.82%K +2.20%G +0.228%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -8.07%E -7.08%K -57.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:44
FanDuel5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV +10.35%E +1.82%K +2.20%G +0.228%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -8.07%E -7.08%K -57.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:44
Grosvenor5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV +0.674%E +0.130%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -8.07%E -7.08%K -57.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 17:44
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.20%E -0.640%K -0.800%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.07%E -7.08%K -57.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 17:44
DraftKings6.39I 15.65%NM 15.03%EV +23.71%E +3.71%K +4.40%G +1.04%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.97%EV -8.88%E -7.86%K -68.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 17:44
Coolbet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +16.16%E +2.69%K +3.23%G +0.522%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -8.88%E -7.86%K -68.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 17:44
Winamax (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV +8.42%E +1.50%K +1.83%G +0.154%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -8.88%E -7.86%K -68.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 17:44
LiveScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +6.48%E +1.18%K +1.44%G +0.093%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -8.88%E -7.86%K -68.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 17:44
Bally Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +6.48%E +1.18%K +1.44%G +0.093%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -8.88%E -7.86%K -68.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 17:44
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +6.48%E +1.18%K +1.44%G +0.093%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -8.88%E -7.86%K -68.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 17:44
LeoVegas5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -1.26%E -0.247%K -0.308%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -8.88%E -7.86%K -68.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 17:44
Casumo6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +18.10%E +2.97%K +3.55%G +0.642%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -9.68%E -8.65%K -80.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 17:45
BetRivers5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +12.29%E +2.12%K +2.56%G +0.315%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -9.68%E -8.65%K -80.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 17:45
TABtouch5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +11.32%E +1.97%K +2.38%G +0.270%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -9.68%E -8.65%K -80.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 17:45
Fanatics5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV +4.55%E +0.842%K +1.03%G +0.047%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -9.68%E -8.65%K -80.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:44
LeoVegas (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV +4.55%E +0.842%K +1.03%G +0.047%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -9.68%E -8.65%K -80.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:44
Virgin Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV +11.32%E +1.97%K +2.38%G +0.270%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -10.49%E -9.45%K -95.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 17:45
Betway7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +35.52%E +5.07%K +5.92%G +2.10%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -11.30%E -10.27%K -112.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 17:45
theScore Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +25.84%E +3.98%K +4.70%G +1.21%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -11.30%E -10.27%K -112.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:44
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV +16.16%E +2.69%K +3.23%G +0.522%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -11.30%E -10.27%K -112.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 17:44
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +25.84%E +3.98%K +4.70%G +1.21%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -12.10%E -11.10%K -134.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:45
Winamax (DE)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV +21.00%E +3.36%K +4.00%G +0.840%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -12.10%E -11.10%K -134.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 17:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-03-21 17:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-03-21 17:45
ProphetX7.10I 14.08%NM 13.83%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.17%1.8%2026-03-21 17:44
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34%1.16I 86.21%NM 84.66%1.8%2026-03-21 17:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%2.4%2026-03-21 17:44
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%3.1%2026-03-21 17:38
Novig6.62I 15.11%NM 13.12%1.00I 100.00%NM 86.88%15.1%2026-03-21 17:44