Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Diana Shnaider v Belinda Bencic

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 18:20 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Diana Shnaider (Local)

Prediction 31.39%3.19fair odd
EV +2.63%
Edge +0.805%
Kelly +1.16%
Growth +0.030%

assuming max odds 3.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.04%31.45%31.33%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.993.003.2737.04%33.46%33.33%30.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Belinda Bencic (Visit)

Prediction 68.61%1.46fair odd
EV +2.92%
Edge +1.95%
Kelly +5.84%
Growth +0.171%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.29%68.55%68.67%70.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.391.401.5075.19%71.98%71.43%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Diana Shnaider (Local): 31.39%; Belinda Bencic (Visit): 68.61%. For Belinda Bencic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.46. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.92%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -15.26%E -5.65%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV +2.92%E +1.95%K +5.84%G +0.171%3.7%2026-03-21 18:15
GTbets🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 32.29%EV -4.59%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.71%EV -0.509%E -0.351%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.9%2026-03-21 18:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -1.20%E -0.830%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 18:00
ReBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -10.55%E -3.70%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.88%E -1.32%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 17:59
Pinnacle🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 31.21%EV -1.76%E -0.563%K -0.828%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.79%EV -2.57%E -1.81%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-21 18:00
Coolbet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -2.57%E -1.81%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 18:00
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.57%E -1.81%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 18:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -10.55%E -3.70%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.57%E -1.81%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 18:00
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.25%E -2.31%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 18:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.70%E -0.872%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 18:14
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:14
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:14
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:14
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:14
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:14
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:14
Bally Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:14
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:14
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:14
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:14
LowVig.ag🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.90%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 18:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.90%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 18:00
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 18:14
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 18:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 18:00
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 18:00
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 18:00
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 18:00
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.92%E -3.46%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.92%E -3.46%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 18:00
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.12%E -4.33%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.12%E -4.33%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 18:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.69%E -4.98%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:59
FanDuel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.63%E -3.33%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 18:00
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.63%E -3.33%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 18:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.63%E -3.33%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 18:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.59%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 18:10
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 18:14
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 18:00
TAB🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:00
Caesars🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:14
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.70%E -0.872%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.00%E -4.38%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:59
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.00%E -4.38%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 18:14
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.00%E -4.38%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 18:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.00%E -4.38%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.00%E -4.38%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:14
1xBet🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV +0.120%E +0.038%K +0.055%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -6.68%E -4.92%K -18.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 18:13
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.68%E -4.92%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:00
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.68%E -4.92%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:00
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.68%E -4.92%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:14
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.68%E -4.92%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.68%E -4.92%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:14
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.68%E -4.92%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:15
SportsBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -6.47%E -2.17%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -6.68%E -4.92%K -18.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 18:00
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.68%E -4.92%K -18.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 17:51
DraftKings🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV +2.63%E +0.805%K +1.16%G +0.030%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -8.06%E -6.01%K -23.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 18:14
NetBet (FR)🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 31.09%EV -6.78%E -2.28%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.91%EV -8.06%E -6.01%K -23.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 17:58
theScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +2.00%E +0.616%K +0.890%G +0.018%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.74%E -6.57%K -26.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.14%E -0.360%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.74%E -6.57%K -26.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:14
Fliff🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -8.74%E -6.57%K -26.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 18:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-03-21 18:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-03-21 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-03-21 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-03-21 18:15
ProphetX3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-03-21 18:09
Novig3.22I 31.06%NM 30.45%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.55%2.0%2026-03-21 18:00
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%9.3%2026-03-21 18:15