La escuela de los momios

Diana Shnaider v Belinda Bencic

Inicio: 2026-03-21 18:20 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Diana Shnaider (Local)

Predicción 31.39%3.19momio equitativo
EV +2.63%
Ventaja +0.805%
Kelly +1.16%
Crecimiento +0.030%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.04%31.45%31.33%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.993.003.2737.04%33.46%33.33%30.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Belinda Bencic (Visitante)

Predicción 68.61%1.46momio equitativo
EV +2.92%
Ventaja +1.95%
Kelly +5.84%
Crecimiento +0.171%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.29%68.55%68.67%70.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.391.401.5075.19%71.98%71.43%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -15.26%E -5.65%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV +2.92%E +1.95%K +5.84%G +0.171%3.7%2026-03-21 18:15
GTbets3.04I 32.89%NM 32.29%EV -4.59%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.71%EV -0.509%E -0.351%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.9%2026-03-21 18:00
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -1.20%E -0.830%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 18:00
ReBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -10.55%E -3.70%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.88%E -1.32%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 17:59
Pinnacle3.13I 31.95%NM 31.21%EV -1.76%E -0.563%K -0.828%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.79%EV -2.57%E -1.81%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-21 18:00
Coolbet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -2.57%E -1.81%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 18:00
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.57%E -1.81%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 18:09
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -10.55%E -3.70%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.57%E -1.81%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 18:00
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.25%E -2.31%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 18:00
Hard Rock Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.70%E -0.872%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 18:14
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:14
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:14
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:14
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:14
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:14
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:14
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:14
Bally Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:14
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:14
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:14
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:14
LowVig.ag3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.90%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 18:00
BetOnline.ag3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.90%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 18:00
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 18:14
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 18:14
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 18:00
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 18:00
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 18:00
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 18:00
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.92%E -3.46%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.92%E -3.46%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 18:00
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.12%E -4.33%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.12%E -4.33%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 18:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.69%E -4.98%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:59
FanDuel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.63%E -3.33%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 18:00
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.63%E -3.33%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 18:14
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.63%E -3.33%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 18:00
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.59%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 18:10
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 18:14
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 18:00
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:00
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:14
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.70%E -0.872%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.00%E -4.38%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:59
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.00%E -4.38%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 18:14
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.00%E -4.38%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 18:14
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.00%E -4.38%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:14
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.00%E -4.38%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:14
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV +0.120%E +0.038%K +0.055%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -6.68%E -4.92%K -18.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 18:13
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.68%E -4.92%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:00
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.68%E -4.92%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:00
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.68%E -4.92%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:14
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.68%E -4.92%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:14
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.68%E -4.92%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:14
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.68%E -4.92%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:15
SportsBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -6.47%E -2.17%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -6.68%E -4.92%K -18.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 18:00
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.68%E -4.92%K -18.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 17:51
DraftKings3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV +2.63%E +0.805%K +1.16%G +0.030%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -8.06%E -6.01%K -23.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 18:14
NetBet (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 31.09%EV -6.78%E -2.28%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.91%EV -8.06%E -6.01%K -23.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 17:58
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +2.00%E +0.616%K +0.890%G +0.018%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.74%E -6.57%K -26.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:14
PointsBet (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.14%E -0.360%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.74%E -6.57%K -26.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:14
Fliff2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -8.74%E -6.57%K -26.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 18:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-03-21 18:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-03-21 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-03-21 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-03-21 18:15
ProphetX3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-03-21 18:09
Novig3.22I 31.06%NM 30.45%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.55%2.0%2026-03-21 18:00
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%9.3%2026-03-21 18:15