L’École des cotes

Diana Shnaider v Belinda Bencic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 18:20 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Diana Shnaider (Local)

Prévision 31.39%3.19cote équitable
EV +2.63%
Avantage +0.805%
Kelly +1.16%
Croissance +0.030%

avec la cote maximale 3.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.04%31.45%31.33%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.993.003.2737.04%33.46%33.33%30.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Belinda Bencic (Visiteur)

Prévision 68.61%1.46cote équitable
EV +2.92%
Avantage +1.95%
Kelly +5.84%
Croissance +0.171%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.29%68.55%68.67%70.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.391.401.5075.19%71.98%71.43%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -15.26%E -5.65%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV +2.92%E +1.95%K +5.84%G +0.171%3.7%2026-03-21 18:15
GTbets3.04I 32.89%NM 32.29%EV -4.59%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.71%EV -0.509%E -0.351%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.9%2026-03-21 18:00
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -1.20%E -0.830%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 18:00
ReBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -10.55%E -3.70%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.88%E -1.32%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 17:59
Pinnacle3.13I 31.95%NM 31.21%EV -1.76%E -0.563%K -0.828%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.79%EV -2.57%E -1.81%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-21 18:00
Coolbet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -2.57%E -1.81%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 18:00
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.57%E -1.81%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 18:09
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -10.55%E -3.70%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.57%E -1.81%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 18:00
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.25%E -2.31%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 18:00
Hard Rock Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.70%E -0.872%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 18:14
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:14
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:14
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:14
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:14
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:14
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:14
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:14
Bally Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:14
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:14
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:14
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:14
LowVig.ag3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.90%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 18:00
BetOnline.ag3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.90%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 18:00
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 18:14
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 18:14
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 18:00
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 18:00
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 18:00
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 18:00
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.92%E -3.46%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.92%E -3.46%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 18:00
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.12%E -4.33%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.12%E -4.33%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 18:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.69%E -4.98%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:59
FanDuel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.63%E -3.33%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 18:00
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.63%E -3.33%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 18:14
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.63%E -3.33%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 18:00
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.59%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 18:10
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 18:14
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 18:00
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:00
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:14
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.70%E -0.872%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.00%E -4.38%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:59
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.00%E -4.38%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 18:14
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.00%E -4.38%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 18:14
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.00%E -4.38%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:14
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.00%E -4.38%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:14
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV +0.120%E +0.038%K +0.055%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -6.68%E -4.92%K -18.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 18:13
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.68%E -4.92%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:00
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.68%E -4.92%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:00
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.68%E -4.92%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:14
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.68%E -4.92%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:14
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.68%E -4.92%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:14
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.84%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.68%E -4.92%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:15
SportsBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -6.47%E -2.17%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -6.68%E -4.92%K -18.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 18:00
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.68%E -4.92%K -18.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 17:51
DraftKings3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV +2.63%E +0.805%K +1.16%G +0.030%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -8.06%E -6.01%K -23.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 18:14
NetBet (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 31.09%EV -6.78%E -2.28%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.91%EV -8.06%E -6.01%K -23.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 17:58
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +2.00%E +0.616%K +0.890%G +0.018%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.74%E -6.57%K -26.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:14
PointsBet (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.14%E -0.360%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.74%E -6.57%K -26.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 18:14
Fliff2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -8.74%E -6.57%K -26.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 18:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-03-21 18:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-03-21 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-03-21 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-03-21 18:15
ProphetX3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-03-21 18:09
Novig3.22I 31.06%NM 30.45%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.55%2.0%2026-03-21 18:00
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%9.3%2026-03-21 18:15