Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Darja Vidmanova v Elsa Jacquemot

Kickoff: 2026-03-17 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Darja Vidmanova (Local)

Prediction 66.15%1.51fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -5.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.63%66.27%66.09%68.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.431.441.4773.53%69.74%69.44%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Elsa Jacquemot (Visit)

Prediction 33.85%2.95fair odd
EV +1.87%
Edge +0.623%
Kelly +0.933%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 3.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.92%33.73%33.91%35.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.782.763.0137.74%35.97%36.23%33.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Darja Vidmanova (Local): 66.15%; Elsa Jacquemot (Visit): 33.85%. For Elsa Jacquemot (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.95. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.01, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.79%EV -5.40%E -3.78%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.21%EV +1.87%E +0.623%K +0.933%G +0.017%3.2%2026-03-17 16:05
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.40%E -3.78%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -0.156%E -0.053%K -0.080%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-17 16:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -0.833%E -0.284%K -0.431%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 16:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -0.833%E -0.284%K -0.431%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 16:06
Coolbet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.41%E -2.34%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -1.85%E -0.637%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-17 16:05
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.85%E -0.637%K -0.973%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 16:25
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.85%E -0.637%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 16:05
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -10.03%E -7.37%K -27.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -1.85%E -0.637%K -0.973%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 16:20
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.52%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 16:10
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -2.86%E -0.998%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -2.86%E -0.998%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -2.75%E -1.87%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -3.54%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-17 15:51
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.54%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-17 16:24
1xBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -2.75%E -1.87%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -3.88%E -1.37%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-17 16:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -5.40%E -3.78%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -4.89%E -1.74%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 16:25
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 15:50
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 15:55
ReBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 15:51
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 16:00
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 15:15
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.40%E -3.78%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 16:00
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 16:05
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 16:05
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 16:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 15:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.91%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.91%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 16:00
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -6.72%E -4.77%K -16.40%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -6.25%E -2.26%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 15:15
GTbets🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.41%E -2.34%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 16:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 15:50
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 13:50
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 14:29
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 16:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.40%E -3.78%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 16:05
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 16:00
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 15:00
Fliff🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.72%E -4.77%K -16.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 16:05
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.41%E -2.34%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 15:00
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 15:00
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 15:01
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 15:00
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 15:00
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 15:01
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 15:01
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 15:00
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 15:00
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 15:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 15:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.40%E -3.78%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 15:51
NetBet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.09%EV -9.37%E -6.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.91%EV -9.63%E -3.61%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-17 16:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 15:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%0.2%2026-03-17 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-03-17 16:20
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-03-17 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-03-17 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-03-17 16:25
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 68.14%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.86%1.9%2026-03-17 16:20
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%3.2%2026-03-17 16:15