La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Darja Vidmanova v Elsa Jacquemot
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Darja Vidmanova (Local)
Predicción 66.15%1.51momio equitativo
EV -2.75%
Ventaja -1.87%
Kelly -5.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.63%66.27%66.09%68.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.431.441.4773.53%69.74%69.44%68.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Elsa Jacquemot (Visitante)
Predicción 33.85%2.95momio equitativo
EV +1.87%
Ventaja +0.623%
Kelly +0.933%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.01
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.92%33.73%33.91%35.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.782.763.0137.74%35.97%36.23%33.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.79%EV -5.40%E -3.78%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.21%EV +1.87%E +0.623%K +0.933%G +0.017% | 3.2% | 2026-03-17 16:05 |
| BetUS | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.40%E -3.78%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -0.156%E -0.053%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-17 16:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -0.833%E -0.284%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 16:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -0.833%E -0.284%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 16:06 |
| Coolbet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.41%E -2.34%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -1.85%E -0.637%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-17 16:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.85%E -0.637%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-17 16:25 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.85%E -0.637%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 16:05 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -10.03%E -7.37%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -1.85%E -0.637%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-17 16:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.52%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 16:10 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -2.86%E -0.998%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -2.86%E -0.998%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -2.75%E -1.87%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -3.54%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-17 15:51 |
| Bovada | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.54%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-17 16:24 |
| 1xBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -2.75%E -1.87%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -3.88%E -1.37%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-17 16:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -5.40%E -3.78%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -4.89%E -1.74%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-17 16:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 15:50 |
| Betsson | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 15:55 |
| ReBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 15:51 |
| Bet Right | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 16:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.40%E -3.78%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-17 16:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 16:05 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 16:05 |
| TAB | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 16:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.91%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-17 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.91%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 16:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -6.72%E -4.77%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -6.25%E -2.26%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| GTbets | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.41%E -2.34%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-17 16:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 15:50 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-17 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-17 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-17 13:50 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-17 14:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-17 16:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.40%E -3.78%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 16:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 16:00 |
| Caesars | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 15:00 |
| Fliff | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.72%E -4.77%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-17 16:05 |
| Unibet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.41%E -2.34%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-17 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 15:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 15:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 15:01 |
| LeoVegas | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 15:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 15:00 |
| Casumo | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 15:01 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 15:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 15:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 15:00 |
| betPARX | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 15:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.40%E -3.78%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 15:51 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.09%EV -9.37%E -6.84%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.91%EV -9.63%E -3.61%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-17 16:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-17 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-17 15:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18% | 0.2% | 2026-03-17 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-03-17 16:20 |
| ProphetX | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-03-17 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.2% | 2026-03-17 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.2% | 2026-03-17 16:25 |
| Novig | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.14% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.86% | 1.9% | 2026-03-17 16:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26% | 3.2% | 2026-03-17 16:15 |