L’École des cotes

Darja Vidmanova v Elsa Jacquemot

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-17 16:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Darja Vidmanova (Local)

Prévision 66.15%1.51cote équitable
EV -2.75%
Avantage -1.87%
Kelly -5.86%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.63%66.27%66.09%68.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.431.441.4773.53%69.74%69.44%68.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elsa Jacquemot (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.85%2.95cote équitable
EV +1.87%
Avantage +0.623%
Kelly +0.933%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 3.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.92%33.73%33.91%35.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.782.763.0137.74%35.97%36.23%33.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 67.79%EV -5.40%E -3.78%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.21%EV +1.87%E +0.623%K +0.933%G +0.017%3.2%2026-03-17 16:05
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.40%E -3.78%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -0.156%E -0.053%K -0.080%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-17 16:05
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -0.833%E -0.284%K -0.431%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 16:05
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -0.833%E -0.284%K -0.431%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 16:06
Coolbet1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.41%E -2.34%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -1.85%E -0.637%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-17 16:05
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.85%E -0.637%K -0.973%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 16:25
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.85%E -0.637%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 16:05
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -10.03%E -7.37%K -27.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -1.85%E -0.637%K -0.973%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 16:20
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.52%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 16:10
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -2.86%E -0.998%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -2.86%E -0.998%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 16:05
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -2.75%E -1.87%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -3.54%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-17 15:51
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.54%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-17 16:24
1xBet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -2.75%E -1.87%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -3.88%E -1.37%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-17 16:10
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -5.40%E -3.78%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -4.89%E -1.74%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 16:25
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 15:50
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 15:55
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 15:51
Bet Right1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 16:00
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 15:15
Fanatics1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.40%E -3.78%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 16:00
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 16:05
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 16:05
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 16:04
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 15:15
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.91%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 16:15
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.91%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 16:00
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -6.72%E -4.77%K -16.40%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -6.25%E -2.26%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 15:15
GTbets1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.41%E -2.34%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 16:04
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 15:50
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 13:50
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 13:50
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 13:50
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 14:29
Parions Sport (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 16:25
Betr (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.40%E -3.78%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 16:05
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 16:00
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 15:00
Fliff1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.72%E -4.77%K -16.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 16:05
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.41%E -2.34%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 15:00
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 15:00
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 15:00
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 15:01
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 15:00
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 15:00
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 15:00
Casumo1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 15:01
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 15:01
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 15:00
Bally Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 15:00
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 15:00
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 15:00
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.40%E -3.78%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 15:51
NetBet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 66.09%EV -9.37%E -6.84%K -25.32%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.91%EV -9.63%E -3.61%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-17 16:04
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 15:00
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 15:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%0.2%2026-03-17 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-03-17 16:20
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-03-17 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-03-17 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-03-17 16:25
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 68.14%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.86%1.9%2026-03-17 16:20
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%3.2%2026-03-17 16:15