Language:English
Aryna Sabalenka v Coco Gauff
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Prediction 69.94%1.43fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -5.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.49%70.08%69.91%72.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.361.361.4078.74%73.71%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Coco Gauff (Visit)
Prediction 30.06%3.33fair odd
EV +5.21%
Edge +1.49%
Kelly +2.09%
Growth +0.109%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.08%29.92%30.09%31.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.143.103.5033.33%31.80%32.26%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aryna Sabalenka (Local): 69.94%; Coco Gauff (Visit): 30.06%. For Coco Gauff (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.33. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.21%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -9.08%E -6.98%K -30.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +5.21%E +1.49%K +2.09%G +0.109% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 22:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.28%E -4.69%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +0.704%E +0.210%K +0.300%G +0.002% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 22:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%EV +0.103%E +0.031%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.799%E -0.242%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 22:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -8.38%E -6.40%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -0.799%E -0.242%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-28 01:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.30%E -0.708%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-27 20:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.30%E -0.708%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-27 20:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.30%E -0.708%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-27 13:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.30%E -0.708%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 13:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.58%E -4.14%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.30%E -0.708%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 16:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.58%E -4.14%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.30%E -0.708%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 16:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.58%E -4.14%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.30%E -0.708%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 15:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.58%E -4.14%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.30%E -0.708%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 15:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.30%E -0.708%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.18%E -3.05%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.20%E -0.995%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 20:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.18%E -3.05%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.20%E -0.995%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.18%E -3.05%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.20%E -0.995%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.80%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 21:23 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.30%EV -2.09%E -1.49%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.70%EV -5.01%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-27 17:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 20:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.58%E -4.14%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 20:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-27 22:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.68%E -5.82%K -24.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -4.18%E -3.05%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -5.91%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-28 01:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 07:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 07:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 07:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 07:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 07:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 07:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 07:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 07:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 07:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 07:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 07:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 07:58 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 07:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 07:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 13:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 13:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 14:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 14:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 06:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 14:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 14:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.58%E -4.14%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-28 01:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-27 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-27 13:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-27 13:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.58%E -4.14%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.31%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-27 07:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.58%E -4.14%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.31%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-27 07:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.31%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.31%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 13:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.60%EV -11.18%E -8.80%K -41.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -8.31%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-27 20:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-28 00:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-27 20:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.28%E -4.69%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 14:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 13:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 20:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-03-28 02:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-28 01:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13% | 1.6% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.64% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.36% | 1.9% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |