L’École des cotes

Aryna Sabalenka v Coco Gauff

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-28 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Prévision 69.94%1.43cote équitable
EV -2.09%
Avantage -1.49%
Kelly -5.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.49%70.08%69.91%72.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.271.361.361.4078.74%73.71%73.53%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Coco Gauff (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.06%3.33cote équitable
EV +5.21%
Avantage +1.49%
Kelly +2.09%
Croissance +0.109%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.08%29.92%30.09%31.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.143.103.5033.33%31.80%32.26%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -9.08%E -6.98%K -30.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +5.21%E +1.49%K +2.09%G +0.109%5.5%2026-03-27 22:45
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.28%E -4.69%K -18.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +0.704%E +0.210%K +0.300%G +0.002%4.5%2026-03-27 22:10
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%EV +0.103%E +0.031%K +0.044%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-27 23:10
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.799%E -0.242%K -0.347%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 22:15
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -8.38%E -6.40%K -27.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -0.799%E -0.242%K -0.347%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-28 01:39
1xBet1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.30%E -0.708%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-27 20:35
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.30%E -0.708%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-27 20:35
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.30%E -0.708%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-27 13:49
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.30%E -0.708%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 13:45
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.58%E -4.14%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.30%E -0.708%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 16:44
Parions Sport (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.58%E -4.14%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.30%E -0.708%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 16:45
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.58%E -4.14%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.30%E -0.708%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 15:50
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.58%E -4.14%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.30%E -0.708%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 15:48
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.30%E -0.708%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 13:54
Marathon Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.18%E -3.05%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.20%E -0.995%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 20:35
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.18%E -3.05%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.20%E -0.995%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 01:00
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.18%E -3.05%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.20%E -0.995%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 01:00
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.80%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 21:23
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 69.30%EV -2.09%E -1.49%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.70%EV -5.01%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-27 17:54
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 01:00
Bet Right1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 01:00
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 20:35
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.58%E -4.14%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 20:30
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 22:45
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.68%E -5.82%K -24.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-28 01:40
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -4.18%E -3.05%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -5.91%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 01:15
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 07:54
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 07:54
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 07:54
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 07:55
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 07:50
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 07:54
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 07:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 07:50
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 07:50
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 07:50
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 07:59
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 07:58
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 07:50
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 07:50
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 13:50
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 13:35
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 14:34
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 14:40
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 06:24
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 14:35
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 14:35
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.58%E -4.14%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-28 01:05
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 13:44
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 13:45
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.58%E -4.14%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.31%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 07:50
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.58%E -4.14%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.31%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 07:54
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.31%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.31%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 13:45
NetBet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 70.60%EV -11.18%E -8.80%K -41.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -8.31%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-27 20:34
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-28 00:20
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 20:35
ReBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.28%E -4.69%K -18.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 14:04
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-27 13:45
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-27 20:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-03-28 02:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-03-28 02:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-03-28 02:35
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-03-28 02:40
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-03-28 01:15
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-03-28 02:35
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 71.64%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.36%1.9%2026-03-28 02:35